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Can't anyone read a poll?

June 30, 2009 12:01 pm ET by Jamison Foser

Washington Post reporter Ed O'Keefe, during today's "Post Politics Hour":

I think we're already starting to see signs of Obama taking the blame. Look at last week's Post-ABC poll that showed that while most Americans still like Obama personally, they've got serious concerns about how he's going to address the deficit, the economic stimulus plan and health care reform efforts.

The poll to which O'Keefe refers does not say anything about whether Americans "like Obama personally." The poll asked whether respondents "approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?" Personal favorability and job approval ratings are not the same thing, no matter how much journalists conflate them.

Saying Americans "like Obama personally" but have "serious concerns" about how he is going to do his job is a distortion of the poll's actual findings, which is that a strong majority of Americans approve of how Obama is doing his job.

As for those "serious concerns," the poll finds that 56 percent of Americans approve of Obama's handling of the economy while only 41 percent disapprove. Health care: 53 percent approve, 39 percent disapprove. The public is split, 48-48 on his handling of deficits. O'Keefe's description of the poll as showing "serious concerns" about Obama's handling of these issues is misleading.

Actually, it's worse than that looks. O'Keefe's phrasing is forward-looking: "serious concerns about how he's going to address ..." The Post and ABC also asked whether respondents trusted Obama or Republicans in Congress to handle a variety of issues; that question is pertinent to O'Keefe's phrasing. On health care, Obama had a 55-27 advantage; on the economy, he led 55-31; and on the budget deficit he led 56-30.

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    • Author by mk3872 (June 30, 2009 12:13 pm ET)
         
      Sick. Those are just Republican talking points he's reciting.

      Limbaugh and Rove have successfully implanted this thought in the press's head that Obama's approval ratings don't matter. They're just a personality contest.
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    • Author by shaggles (June 30, 2009 12:16 pm ET)
         
      Do they always poll a new Prez this much? I don't recall new polls every week on Bush's performance this early on. Am I just hearing about it more now?
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      • Author by jonwisby (June 30, 2009 12:27 pm ET)
           
        probably a little of both
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      • Author by jonwisby (June 30, 2009 12:28 pm ET)
           
        probably a little of both
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      • Author by neon desert (June 30, 2009 12:37 pm ET)
           
        The weekly polls on Bush's performance were covered mainly by Christian Agriculture Monitor and Brushcutters Digest, since he was on vacation in Crawford for the first 6 months of his first term.
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    • Author by MickD (June 30, 2009 12:50 pm ET)
         
      Are the pundits trying to say that in matters of presidential judgment, they are always correct and the people are always wrong? Incessant hammering of polls that slip a point or two seems to point toward this. Like all those headlines that came about when BushieCo became the most unpopular admin ever <sarcasm>.
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    • Author by The_Cat (June 30, 2009 4:16 pm ET)
         
      I see this as a round peg/square hole kind of problem. The conservatives, Republicans, and general Obama naysayers WANT to live in a world where most Americans are unhappy with our new president's job performance. The problem of course, is that they don't. Rather than accept that, they simply reach for a bigger hammer, hoping that if they pound on this particular peg long enough, it will magically fit. It is my sincere hope that they continue to be pointed out and laughed at in public. Ha-ha!
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