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Politico's Ben Smith leaves out context in his Obama's-bad-poll-number item

September 02, 2009 9:41 am ET by Eric Boehlert

First, only at Politico do writers hype as news events that might happen:

Historically, Obama's fall is fast

Here's the lede [emphasis added]:

President Barack Obama's approval ratings, once seen as historically high, could soon be among the worst early poll numbers for a modern American president...

The Gallup Organization — whose polls show Obama at just 50 percent approval rating less than eight months into his first term — says only two modern presidents, Gerald Ford and Bill Clinton, saw their approval ratings drop below 50 percent by this time in their presidencies. Ronald Reagan is the next in line, with his numbers dipping after 10 months, while Jimmy Carter retained positive approval numbers for more than a year.

Could Obama's ratings soon become the worst in history? It's possible. Could they soon become the best in history? Also equally possible. (Do you see how pointless this exercise is?)

There are other problems in the Politico report, though. For instance, when readers follow the link to Gallup daily tracking poll, they discover that Obama's approval rating actually  stands at 52 percent, not "just 50 percent," as Smith claimed in his report. (The 50 percent mark was hit briefly last week.)

But here's the missing context: In June of 2001 George Bush's approval ratings, according to Gallup, had fallen to 52 percent, just five months into his first term. But for some reason in an item about how Obama's "fall" may be "historically" "fast," Smith forgets to mention that Bush fell faster (by two months) than Obama did.

But no matter. For Smith, the item was a success because last night Karl Rove was tweeting about how Obama's ratings had fallen "faster than any president in modern history." The claim is completely false, but it sure seemed to be on the one Politico wanted to push.

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    • Author by wesley (September 02, 2009 10:01 am ET)
        5
      -- Since World War II, only Gerald Ford and Bill Clinton have had worse ratings after seven months than President Obama. --

      Absolutely true...so sayeth Politifact.
      Report Abuse
    • Author by terrapin53 (September 02, 2009 10:02 am ET)
      3  
      Obama even at 50% is pretty darn good considering all the lies and hate you hear from talk radio and Fox on a daily basis. I cannot remember any President in my time having to deal with so much BS from the media as this man has.All if it undeserved as far as I am concerned. PS I go back as far as LBJ.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by fawltylogic (September 02, 2009 10:32 am ET)
        1  
        That's what I was thinking too. There's basically has a 24/7 TV channel dedicated to destroying him.

        Though something like this doesn't necessarily mean the ratings dropped because he's what Fox accuses him of being - my "approval" of him has dropped because he's not ANYTHING like what Fox says he is. ;)
        Report Abuse
        • Author by historygeek001 (September 02, 2009 11:35 am ET)
          2  
          I'm with you. Fox "News" isn't news, it's an extreme right-wing Republican (pretty much all that's left in the party) mouthpiece. I am constantly amazed at the number of people I hear repeating their talking points as if they were fact. Most people are willing to listen to reason or are able to think for themselves (for instance, they don't think Obama wants to kill old people) but they're still repeating open lies as if the lies were worth talking about.

          In spite of all of this Obama remains popular, and this infuriates the wingnuts. I think that he's losing popularity because he's not liberal ENOUGH and is not being tough enough on those who oppose him no matter what he does or says. It's not possible to build a coalition with people who oppose everything reflexively.

          I would feel sorry for wingnuts if their hatred, dishonesty, and willful deliberate ignorance was not so repugnant.
          Report Abuse
    • Author by mk3872 (September 02, 2009 11:21 am ET)
         
      I was amazed by this story yesterday. The lack of journalistic understanding is astonishing.

      Smith led with the idea that Obama's fall is fast.

      But the numbers he used were wrong. And his premise was based on his projection, not the actual polling numbers. This is sloppy and just an effort to placate his right-wing base and good buddy Matt Drudge.

      Today's national polling by (Gallup, CNN & CBS actually have Obama from 52% to 56% even after the Gates police incident, non-stop coverage of death panels and healthcare mobs, etc, etc.

      But, IMHO, our good buddy Jake Tapper took the prize today. Today, he announced definitevely that Obama's fall is the FASTEST.

      The MSM loves this. They bought into the theme that Obama's approval numbers were overblown ever since February. They continue to ignore the actual polling numbers and highlight the negatives each & every time.
      Report Abuse
    • Author by truthseeker77 (September 02, 2009 11:37 am ET)
      2  
      Republicans in congress have a 12% approval, according to a Harris poll released today. Why does Smith never give us the numbers for Republicans?

      http://www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/pubs/Harris_Poll_2009_09_02.pdf
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      • Author by eweston8542983 (September 02, 2009 11:42 am ET)
           
        Sympathy for the underdogs....no?
        Report Abuse
      • Author by wesley (September 02, 2009 12:01 pm ET)
          3
        Here's more from the Harris poll on the approval ratings of the rogues gallery masquerading as leaders:

        Democrats - 21%
        Pelosi - 19%
        Reid - 10%
        McConnell - 8%
        Boehner - 8%

        Hardly anything to write home about.

        Report Abuse

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