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The Hill omits GOP's dismal polling numbers in article about possible GOP rebound

September 30, 2009 11:13 am ET by Eric Boehlert

From The Hill:

A cycle after the Democrats went all out to stretch the map to new lengths, Republicans are doing their best imitation. The GOP is attempting to go after a number of seats it hasn’t pursued in decades, along with others that have gone by the wayside in recent cycles.

The hyper-aggressive strategy stems from "an environment shift" politically. The Hill stresses that, "the magnitude of the change in the environment" means the GOP is now landing better candidate. The "environment" is never defined, but readers can assume it's referring to a downturn for Democrats.  

But as John Amato at Crooks & Liars recently noted, while the press seems completely tuned into polling data that might reflect poorly on Obama and Democrats, the same press seems utterly disinterested in GOP polling results that are worse.

Wrote Amato [emphasis added]:

Mitch McConnell is polling at an 18% approval rating. That's eighteen percent. John Boehner is polling at 12% approval rating. Just think about that one. And it doesn't take much to make him cry. Mitch and Boehner are viewed less favorably than Dick Cheney was during the dark days of the Bush administration. Why don't we hear about that on teevee? The overall approval ratings of Congressional Republicans is 17% as a party!

I have no doubt the RNC is expanding its list of targeted Democrats. But in reporting the strategy, news outlets such as The Hill ought to acknowledge that the GOP itself faces a very difficult "environment." 

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    • Author by all your eyes (September 30, 2009 11:19 am ET)
         
      It's also worth comparing the numbers today to those in 1993, when the Republicans were running Clinton's health care reform bill off the rails. They're not comparable: the Republican party is viewed favorably by much smaller numbers today than in 1993, and is viewed unfavorably by much largern numbers today than in 1993. Also, Obama's approval numbers, like Clinton's in 1993, are about the same as his vote tally in the presidential election one year prior. The difference, of course, is that Obama got about 12 percentage points more support than Clinton, who was elected by a plurality, not a majority, thanks to Ross Perot. So, while the Republicans are having fantasies of 1994, the reality is much different.
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    • Author by Midnight Kevin (September 30, 2009 11:22 am ET)
         
      The problem I see is that the conservative noise machine will be able to steal some votes from the ignorant people who don't know any better and follow Fox News word for word...

      The Democrats need to continue mobilizing the voters. There are these 912 rallies and tea bag events, but have you seen a televised Democrat rally? No. They won the election, and they are going to make the same mistake they make every election, and that is win, and then think you can't be defeated. They are not going to combat silly accusations, and instead, they will sweep it under the rug, and use conservative framing to discuss the issues.

      ----------------------
      The Midnight Review
      Mum Is The Word
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    • Author by mk3872 (September 30, 2009 11:26 am ET)
         
      True, Eric, those GOP polling numbers are HORRIBLE.

      But reporting that would have a negative effect on the media theme right now of a huge GOP revival.

      So don't expect to see much of that being reported.
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    • Author by wookie (September 30, 2009 11:34 am ET)
         
      Sure, but when your numbers are that low just going up 1% is a big deal!
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    • Author by wesley (September 30, 2009 11:55 am ET)
        1
      -- The Hill omits GOP's Polling Numbers -- Boehlert

      Correctamundo...and would be very appropriate if the Hill article was about national politics...but it was not.

      The article talked specifically about the strategy of local politics and local candidates...and has little to do with the ratings of Boehner/McConnell.

      Boehlert also fails to mention that his polling numbers come from a DKOS poll...one that finds little support for the leaders of either party...describing the results as "to perhaps put it more accurately...they still remain less unpopular than the GOP" when speaking of democrats.

      Being "less unpopular" is a pretty hollow victory to claim.
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      • Author by political_left-religious_right (October 01, 2009 12:25 pm ET)
           
        Correctamundo...and would be very appropriate if the Hill article was about national politics...but it was not.

        The article talked specifically about the strategy of local politics and local candidates...and has little to do with the ratings of Boehner/McConnell.


        The Hill article was about the political environment, and was using some local races as examples. It was not an article about those isolated examples. In short, Boehlert got it right, and you got it wrong. But that's nothing new, and certainly not surprising.

        Goodness, even The Hill's readers understood the actual message of the article, as you could tell with a quick glance at their comments.
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