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Forget what those expert economists say: Jeff Poor knows better

November 27, 2009 2:38 pm ET by Jamison Foser

Newsbusters' Jeff Poor issues a proclamation:

We've already seen how ineffective the previous $787-billion stimulus Congress and the President forced through earlier this year has been with curbing unemployment, as it has raced into double-digits over the previous months. But will there be an effort to force through another one?

Now, let's set aside the question of whether the first stimulus really has been "ineffective" for a moment.  

Poor never once entertains the possibility that if it has been ineffective (or insufficiently effective), it's because it was too small.  This despite the fact that many economists at the time said it should be bigger.  And despite the fact that conservative economist Martin Feldstein, a former Reagan administration official, says "There should have been more direct federal spending," and former McCain economic advisor Mark Zandi says "there was a considerable amount of hand-wringing that it was too small, and I sympathized with that argument."  Zandi also says "the stimulus is doing what it was supposed to do - it is contributing to ending the recession. ... In my view, without the stimulus, G.D.P. would still be negative and unemployment would be firmly over 11 percent. And there are a little over 1.1 million more jobs out there as of October than would have been out there without the stimulus." 

No, forget all that: Newsbusters' Jeff Poor says the stimulus has been ineffective, and there shouldn't be any more.  He doesn't offer any evidence or expert analysis -- but why would we need any?  He's Newsbuster Jeff Poor.  Isn't that enough?

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    • Author by pros2pros2940 (November 27, 2009 3:33 pm ET)
      6 1
      Yep..........republicans only believe in the tax cut fairy.

      Apparently the same tax fairy that allowed Reagan to tripled the debt and Bush 2 to double the debt.
      Report Abuse
    • Author by neon desert (November 27, 2009 4:37 pm ET)
      6 1
      Oh come on, Mr. Foser. What do you expect? This isn't sports where people DEMAND informed expert analysis and opinion from their reporters and pundits. This is just common everyday topics.

      Get real. You want commentary from authoritative sources? Watch ESPN, for cryin' out loud...
      Report Abuse
    • Author by oscar the grouch (November 27, 2009 5:14 pm ET)
      1 5
      MMFA needs to define "expert". It seems one (or more) can find an expert or two to back up any positon on any topic. Economists are like politicans (or any group calling themselves religious), in any group there will be opposing views. Which one we deem is correct in large, depends on our own "bias".
      Report Abuse
      • Author by spooky3 (November 28, 2009 3:52 pm ET)
        3  
        Uh, you must have been sleeping through your classes in college, Oscar. The social sciences, of which economics is one, insist on well-controlled, empirical evidence to sort out which "opposing views" are "deemed correct." Controversies linger when (a) people ignore careful studies in favor of "gut feel", bloviating, etc., or (b) among good social scientists and other observers, when the data examined to date show different results that can't yet be reconciled. Just as medical researchers haven't yet cured all types of cancer, all complex economic questions haven't been resolved. But that doesn't mean that every "expert" opinion is equally persuasive, any more than it would be true that we know nothing about what causes cancer.
        Report Abuse
    • Author by ProgLib (November 28, 2009 1:25 am ET)
      3 1
      just saw this posting by poor, and i thought to myself "who is he, as a supposed media expert, to claim that the first stimulus has been ineffective?" and where is the bias in what harwood said? he is claiming that another stimulus might happen based on what the democrats are saying, not what the media is pushing.

      by the way, MMfA, you should take a look at one of newsbusters' latest postings attempting to hint at the claim that obama was working with the NFL to keep him from buying the rams just because he did a commercial with the NFL and "united we serve". its a real hoot.
      Report Abuse
    • Author by ProgLib (November 28, 2009 1:25 am ET)
      2 1
      just saw this posting by poor, and i thought to myself "who is he, as a supposed media expert, to claim that the first stimulus has been ineffective?" and where is the bias in what harwood said? he is claiming that another stimulus might happen based on what the democrats are saying, not what the media is pushing.

      by the way, MMfA, you should take a look at one of newsbusters' latest postings attempting to hint at the claim that obama was working with the NFL to keep him from buying the rams just because he did a commercial with the NFL and "united we serve". its a real hoot.
      Report Abuse
    • Author by egb (November 28, 2009 4:11 am ET)
      1 9
      It is ineffective because the unemployment rate is 10.2%. Obama said it wouldn't go over 8% if the "stimulus" bill was passed. Therefore, every person with common sense thinks the money is gone and wasted and we got nothing for it -- just like the AIG money.

      Now, although O has authored the largest single deficit in US history, he's aiming even higher in that area. There is talk of another stimulus.

      A stimulus is good for a holding pattern while the economy heals itself. Most people would agree with that. The stimulus does not create or grow the economy. It simply allows people to not be unemployed or if they are to continue receiving a hand-out for not working. Since O hates business large and small, the economy is not growing and won't until they can get a measure that O isn't going to be attacking them. Hanging over business' head are huge increases in energy taxes, life threatening taxes for health plans for small businesses, and forced unionization. Hanging over your and my head is significant increases in health insurance if you have insurance now.

      All in all, O has made things worse, a lot worse. Some economists said last week that employment would start growing in the 2-nd half of next year, adding jobs. Did they factor in a Health care law, a cap and trade law and a forced unionization law?

      Report Abuse
      • Author by wookie (November 28, 2009 4:23 pm ET)
        4  
        The unemployment rate slowed down drastically while the market climbed. The last time Republicans tanked the market the unemployment rate went over 20%. But it is falling in response to stimulus, then and now. In the 30's people assumed it would take a few years to totally recover. And much of the money hasn't been spent yet, which would be a valid are for criticism. And "O" didn't author all of the money spent before January 20th. "O" may hate business large and small but Cash for Clunkers worked pretty well.
        Report Abuse
      • Author by tjmccool2284 (November 28, 2009 10:55 pm ET)
        3  
        You really don't pay attention, do you? The US spends $7200/person on health care (OECD data 2007) while France,for example, covers everyone for $3600; the UK for $2900 and Japan for $2300. You already pay more than any developed country for heath care and here you are bleating about how much it will cost.
        The insurance companies, pharmaceuticals etc are looting you everyday and you want to complain about how much a reform, not the best reform, just a reform, will cost. How about complaining to your Rep and Senators about how much health care (like Medicare Part D passed by the conservatives, by the way) costs NOW?
        See here and here.
        Report Abuse
      • Author by Real Texas Straight Talk (November 29, 2009 12:22 am ET)
           
        O my poor egb

        How nice of you to sum up so many right wing talking points in one post, so I can refute them one at a time.

        Yes Obama's team predicted the stimulus would stop unemployment at 8%, and yes, they were wrong. In their prediction. Unemployment topped 9% in April, before any of the stimulus money even went out the door. So it's a phony conclusion to say the Obama plan is ineffective because unemployment went up. He just failed to understand just how bad of shape Bush left the economy. Thats the common sense conclusion you might have reached, if you didn't have Rush and Fox fogging up your logic with lies.

        Ah yes, the single largest deficit in history, it may be. But this bloated baby was authored by the administration that started with a surplus, then charged a trillion dollar war and a 750 billion prescrition drug company bonus on the national Visa card. And instead of asking America to pay its damn bills, Bush cut taxes instead. He authored 1.2 trillion of the 1.4 trillion dollar deficit, because he also had to borrow another 750 billion to keep the banks from melting down. This was all done by October, before Obama was even elected.

        Now come on, conservatives. You know this is true. Why all of a sudden has the right gone deficit hawk? At least with health care, Obama says "its expensive, so we have to figure out how to pay for it." Had Bush done the same with the war, we might be a trillion less in debt. You are the party of spend and don't tax. Yet now you worry about the bill being left to your grandkids. If you'd been worried 2 years ago, when your party controlled the White House and Congress. maybe you could have done something about it. Instead, it just sound like you hate Obama, and want him to fail? As Hannity loves to ask, "Why do you hate America?"

        Since O hates business large and small. Sorry, the only proof Obama hates business is the words of right wing commentators. All of his actions, like proposing a health care bill that preserves private insurance, moving to save banks and keep car companies afloat says he does not hate business. Unless you also believe he hates America, hates white people and is a foreign born secret Muslim.

        There is no HUGE increase in taxes hidden in the health care bill...more likely just a surtax on millionaires, who'll pay a few thousand more. The wealthy will still pay less than under Reagan or Clinton, so it clearly won't crush the economy. The claimed $3000 cap and trade tax per individual is a Heritage foundation fiction. The CBO number is just a few hundred. As far as increases in insurance, mine goes up 10% every year under the current Republican free market plan. And I still face bankruptcy, if my insurer can find a way to weasel out of paying my bills.

        As for the claim Obama has made things much worse, remember 1 year ago? Dow around 7000? 401k's sliced in half? Home prices plumetting? Foreclosure crisis? 600,000 jobs a month disappearing? No one sure their own bank wouldn't collapse tomorrow? Now the economy growing again, the Dow is over 10000, we're losing jobs at less than half the rate. It ain't pretty, but its a flat out lie to say its worse now that on Jan 21st. Most credible economists say without the stimulus, we'd still be in negative growth, and unemployment would be higher.

        Its just amazing how misinformed some people are. I really blame Fox. It lies so much, its viewers still think Saddam was responsible for 9-11, and he had WMD's. The only way you can believe its worse is if you believe to be fact things that are not true. For examples, pick any sign seen at the Fox-Tea parties. If your news source makes you dumber, its not a news source, its a propaganda machine.

        Please wise up before you elect the female Bush, Sarah Palin. I don't think the Chinese will loan us the money for another stupid war.
        Report Abuse
      • Author by loonz (November 29, 2009 6:50 am ET)
        1  
        The taxes you keep yelping about really don't come into play. Businesses can't make a profit in a low demand environment and that's why they're either letting people go or not hiring. The stimulus was an attempt to create the demand needed to get businesses hiring but it's not creating enough of it (mostly because the majority of the money hasn't been spent yet and the overall package is too small). Once demand is at a sufficient level, businesses will hire people to meet that demand.

        Also, why shouldn't employees be able to form a union if that's what they want?
        Report Abuse
      • Author by Don Hussein Fabuloso (November 29, 2009 1:55 pm ET)
        1  
        Thanks, egb, you made my day. These are some of my favorite posts, the ones where you nutters try to hold this overall tone of reason and calm, but you just can't help throwing in some bit of lunacy like;
        Since O hates business large and small

        Remember, your comment is only as sane as the craziest sentence.
        Report Abuse
        • Author by political_left-religious_right (November 30, 2009 12:40 pm ET)
          1  
          Well put! I have to wonder if egb was around before last January, when he might have noticed that there was a president--the first one with an MBA, by golly!--who loved business so much that he totally trashed the economy, after having run several businesses into the ground when he was at their helms.
          Report Abuse

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