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A chart you won't see on Fox News today

September 01, 2010 12:36 pm ET by Jeremy Holden & Shauna Theel

Fox & Friends distorted data to deceptively compare the cost of the Iraq war and the cost of the stimulus bill, citing outdated stimulus estimates and pretending that the U.S. will not spend any additional money related to the Iraq war after 2010.  

After Fox & Friend Brian Kilmeade said he was "stunned" that Obama said the Iraq war contributed to deficits, Fox & Friend Gretchen Carlson said, "Look at the difference in the spending between Iraq, a $709 billion, versus the stimulus of $862 billion." While Carlson spoke Fox & Friends showed graphically the "difference in the spending":

Fox Chart

Carlson promised: "You're not going to see this graph too many other places today. Trust me."

Carlson is likely right, but not for the reasons she thinks. 

The reason you're not going to see this graph anywhere else is that this graph is completely dishonest.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, the cost of operations for the Iraq war through 2010 is $709 billion. But the costs associated with the Iraq war do not end there. As Obama discussed in his Oval Office address:

Going forward, a transitional force of U.S. troops will remain in Iraq with a different mission:  advising and assisting Iraq's Security Forces, supporting Iraqi troops in targeted counterterrorism missions, and protecting our civilians.  Consistent with our agreement with the Iraqi government, all U.S. troops will leave by the end of next year.  As our military draws down, our dedicated civilians -- diplomats, aid workers, and advisors -- are moving into the lead to support Iraq as it strengthens its government, resolves political disputes, resettles those displaced by war, and builds ties with the region and the world.  That's a message that Vice President Biden is delivering to the Iraqi people through his visit there today.

In October 2009, CBO estimated that continued operations would add $156 billion to the deficit between 2010 and 2014.

The dishonesty is amplified by Fox & Friends' cherry picking cost estimates of the stimulus bill. In its January economic outlook, the CBO revised its estimate of the stimulus cost to $862 billion. But in August, CBO took into account changes to the law and said the stimulus would cost $814 billion.

Taking into account reality, a chart comparing CBO estimates of the costs associated with the stimulus and with the Iraq war would look markedly different:

Honest Chart

You're probably not going to see that chart on Fox News anytime soon.

Incidentally, the consensus among economists is that GDP and employment are both higher today than they would have been without the stimulus -- not that Fox will tell you that.

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    • Author by tharri874 (September 01, 2010 12:43 pm ET)
      21  
      You know, even if that graphic had been accurate, my immediate reaction was, It's better to spend a trillion on the U.S. economic recovery than on an unnecessary, destructive, unpopular, and unproductive war.

      If Fox thinks spinning the numbers to make the red bar slightly smaller makes the Iraq war seem better than the stimulus, they're not just lying, they're out of touch with reality.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by shaggles (September 01, 2010 12:50 pm ET)
        10  
        That's what I was thinking too. It's hilarious that Fox thinks that graph is some sort of victory for their side.
        Report Abuse
        • Author by dogbreath (September 01, 2010 1:03 pm ET)
          11  
          I thought the exact same thing. Spending money on our infrastructure, education, job creation, etc. vs. putting money down a hole in the desert where it will never be seen or heard from again? Hmmmm. . . which type is better?
          Report Abuse
      • Author by mk3872 (September 01, 2010 1:08 pm ET)
        4  
        Not if you're a phony libertarian conserva-idiot
        Report Abuse
      • Author by jodyroy (September 01, 2010 1:30 pm ET)
        6  
        BINGO! I read revisionist bloggers constantly blabbing on and on about "Obama's outspent Bush on the deficit!" At least Mr. Obama is putting that money back into the country, infusing that money back into circulation here at home. He's not giving tax breaks to the corporations and rich people who don't need it anyway. And Halliburton . . . don't get me started on that!
        Report Abuse
    • Author by progressivevoicedaily (September 01, 2010 12:43 pm ET)
      5  
      When one side(the right) makes up their own facts, and then sets their position based on those erroneous facts, it's no wonder we have the problems today. Imagine if the right wing talkers, all of them, starting encouraging their mindless followers to go out and spend money, that the recovery is in full effect?? We would probably be seeing a much improved economy. Instead, the right wing talkers have convinced half of the country to not spend, to save their money, to cower in fear and no got out. I feel that is just as much to blame for the lack of recovery as the stimulus bill NOT being big enough.
      Report Abuse
    • Author by bintx (September 01, 2010 12:44 pm ET)
      2 1
      Incidentally, the consensus among economists is that GDP and employment are both higher today than they would have been without the stimulus -- not that Fox will tell you that.


      I think that you meant GDP is higher and unemployment is lower. Could be wrong, but I think that's what you meant.
      Report Abuse
    • Author by alienofwar (September 01, 2010 12:46 pm ET)
      8  
      Republicans are more than willing to spend money to rebuild a foreign country, but not willing to spend money to rebuild America. What kind of America loving patriots are these people???
      Report Abuse
      • Author by shaggles (September 01, 2010 12:51 pm ET)
        3  
        I've been thinking that for 8 years.
        Report Abuse
      • Author by SMTDL (September 01, 2010 1:00 pm ET)
        4  
        They are phony patriots and hypocrites!!They make any spending they support about patriotism even if based on lies and any Democratic spending on the American people as socialism,marxism or worse!!!
        They(Fox) didn't even address the realities of the ongoing war expenditures,or the wasted billions on projects never completed,questionable no-bid contracts to Halliburton,contracts for disastrous Blackwater activities, or billions of unaccounted for spending.Yet they will trumpet over and over about a small amount of stimulus money spent on something like paving the Sunset Strip!!
        Where or when did the President take credit for anything except carefully ending the Iraq war as he said he would.Any assessment of real Iraq success is a future proposition against the final cost years from now!!
        Report Abuse
    • Author by shaggles (September 01, 2010 12:55 pm ET)
      4  
      And that's only Iraq. How much have we spent on Afghanistan? The people complaining that Obama is going to make our children pay for the stimulus, etc. don't seem to care that our children will be paying for Bush's wars of choice. Oh but I know. If I point that out I'm trying to blame everything on Bush.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by dogbreath (September 01, 2010 1:05 pm ET)
        3  
        "Stop living in the past, you lib! Now, who is going to be the next Ronald Reagan?" :)
        Report Abuse
      • Author by magnolialover (September 01, 2010 1:15 pm ET)
        2  
        Cost of both wars...

        Over a trillion for both wars.

        Also, with the stim, there was money we got back from the money that was sent out (banks, Big 3, and so on), plus, not ALL of the stim money was spent.

        Their chart, is of course, fanciful, and wrong.
        Report Abuse
    • Author by wookie (September 01, 2010 1:05 pm ET)
      4  
      Here is a good site

      Lost & Unaccounted for in Iraq - $9 billion of US taxpayers' money and $549.7 milion in spare parts shipped in 2004 to US contractors. Also, per ABC News, 190,000 guns, including 110,000 AK-47 rifles.



      Cost of deploying one U.S. soldier for one year in Iraq - $390,000 (Congressional Research Service)


      Which is a lot more than the cost of the stimulus jobs.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by dogbreath (September 01, 2010 1:06 pm ET)
        1  
        I'm writing that down and am going to post it everytime a troll approaches denouncing the stimulus.
        Report Abuse
    • Author by grrson (September 01, 2010 1:37 pm ET)
      4  
      I wonder if that $865B includes the medical expenses for the tens of thousands of wounded U.S. troops that we will all be paying for for the rest of their lives.

      And does it include all the equipment, vehicles and weapons that were run ragged during the war and will now have to be replaced?

      And does it include the cost to build/maintain our monolithic embassy that we've built in Baghdad?

      That number has to be higher.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by wookie (September 01, 2010 2:28 pm ET)
        2  
        After they leave the battlefield they become big government welfare spending.
        Report Abuse
    • Author by s_guthrie (September 01, 2010 1:39 pm ET)
      6  
      Both representations also conveniently muddy the distinction between the "cost" of the stimulus and stimulus "spending" (and over a third of that is in increased reimbursements to States). Nearly $300 billion of the recovery act "cost" is in individual and business tax cuts, and $500 in planned "spending." The tax "cost" has already been almost fully realized, whereas about 300 billion of "spending" has already occurred, leaving roughly 200 Billion more to spend over the next few years.

      So... to be fair, the Fox numbers should be represented as something like this:

      Costs through 2010.
      Iraq - $709B
      Stimulus tax cuts - $300B
      Stimulus spending - $300B

      Giant snowballs will form in Hades before we ever see that on Fox, if for no reason other than the fact that most pseudo-Conservatives (which is most modern CONs) will never admit that a tax cuts actually costs something and adds to the deficit. Admitting that simple fact is a heresy that will earn the RINO label faster than Fox can rightwing-load a discussion panel...

      Report Abuse
      • Author by Unreality (September 01, 2010 5:08 pm ET)
        3  
        I appreciate someone who not only knows where to look for hard numbers, but can explain them. Excellent points I was ready to make.

        I would suggest one other clarification: $212 billion in Stimulus Plan is tax cuts to 95% of working Americans and businesses.

        I don't know about FauxNoise staff, but I didn't get squat from Iraq and don't hold stock or mutual fund in any company that did.
        Report Abuse
      • Author by SMTDL (September 02, 2010 12:39 pm ET)
        1  
        Good Point,Republicans that are crying over the Bush Tax cuts never ever mention the stimulus had over 1/3 as taxcuts.Why will extending the Bush tax cuts after 10 years of being in effect already on top of the stimulus cuts do anything for the economy.If tax cuts were the answer,the economy should have come "roaring" back already ..RIGHT?!!!
        Report Abuse
    • Author by apostleis (September 01, 2010 1:43 pm ET)
      9 1
      Since the GOP is to blame for both expenses what are they arguing?
      Report Abuse
    • Author by DellDolly (September 01, 2010 1:52 pm ET)
      4  
      As I've pointed out many, many times, there are two types of deficit spending - necessary spending and unnecessary spending.

      Stimulating the economy when we would have entered a second Great Depression otherwise is necessary spending.

      Waging a totally unnecessary and ill-advised war, after the President learned in early 2003 that the intelligence he'd been relying upon was wrong and that Saddam didn't really have any WMD's? Totally unncessary spending.

      Comparing the two is an unfair comparison in every possible way, including that the numbers they used are a big distortion of the current info we have. If we're going to look at the eventual costs of the stimulus, then we need to look at the eventual costs of the Iraq War!
      Report Abuse
    • Author by dennistaylor (September 01, 2010 3:35 pm ET)
      5  
      ..and furthermore, Fox distorted the height of the column on the right to make it appear larger than the numbers indicate.
      If the height of the column on the left represents 709 billion, then the height of the column on the right rerpresents about 975 billion! Will these guys stop at nothing in their efforts to distort and mislead?
      Report Abuse
      • Author by iowalib (September 01, 2010 6:26 pm ET)
        3  
        Will these guys stop at nothing in their efforts to distort and mislead?


        No.
        Report Abuse

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  • County Fair is a media blog featuring links to progressive media criticism from around the Web as well as original commentary, breaking news and rapid response updates to major media events from Media Matters senior fellows and other staff.