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Citing admittedly flawed Zogby poll, Novak claimed Obama result in CA "raises the specter of the ... 'Bradley effect' "

February 11, 2008 8:01 pm ET

SUMMARY: Citing a "Zogby poll that showed a big Obama lead in California," Robert D. Novak asserted that Sen. Barack Obama's defeat in the California presidential primary "raises the specter of the dreaded 'Bradley effect.' " But in explaining why his poll showing Obama leading in California by 13 points did not match the actual results, John Zogby wrote: "It appears that we underestimated Hispanic turnout and overestimated the importance of younger Hispanic voters. We also overestimated turnout among African-American voters."

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