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MSNBC's Morales selectively cited polling on congressional approval -- and misidentified it

July 24, 2007 5:53 pm ET

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On the July 24 "Super Tuesday" edition of MSNBC Live, host Natalie Morales falsely asserted that "the latest poll out of The Washington Post shows that there is an all-time low of 14 percent of approval for lawmakers in Congress right now." Morales then asked, "Why is that not affecting Democrats more?" In fact, "the latest poll out of The Washington Post" and ABC News, conducted July 18-21, found a 37 percent approval rating for Congress.

Morales may have been referring to a Reuters/Zogby poll conducted July 12-14, a week before the Washington Post/ABC News poll. According to a Zogby International release, the Reuters/Zogby poll found that Congress received "positive marks" from 14 percent of respondents. While Zogby's release identified the subject of the question as the "Democratic Congress" once in the body and the "Dem Congress" once in the subheadline, a July 18 Reuters article referred to the subject four times simply as "Congress" and once as "the Democratic-controlled Congress." Since Zogby does not release its poll questions, it cannot be determined whether respondents were asked about "Congress" or about the "Democratic Congress." The distinction may be relevant because polling shows that when respondents are asked separately about congressional Democrats and congressional Republicans, Democrats consistently receive higher ratings. Indeed, the Washington Post/ABC News poll found that 46 percent of respondents approved of "the Democrats in Congress," while 34 percent approved of "the Republicans in Congress." A July 9-17 New York Times/CBS News poll found that 28 percent of respondents were "mostly pleased" with "what the Democrats in Congress are doing," compared with 21 percent of respondents who were "mostly pleased" with "what the Republicans in Congress are doing."

From the 1 p.m. ET hour of the July 24 edition of MSNBC Live:

MORALES: What does it mean, Richard [Wolffe, Newsweek senior White House correspondent], though, when you're talking about also in Congress, when you have Democrats in the Senate and the House far outraising Republicans: 3-to-1 in the Senate, 10-to-1 in the House. Why are the Democrats still raking it in when, according to The Washington Post, there is so much concern, there is so much anger over Iraq right now? The latest poll out of The Washington Post shows that there is an all-time low of 14 percent of approval for lawmakers in Congress right now. Why is that not affecting Democrats more?

WOLFFE: Well, because they're fired up about Iraq. I mean, the Democrats are energized because of Bush-bashing and because of their feelings towards Iraq. And in some ways, the unresolved nature of the war, the fact that Democrats haven't made more progress in terms of stopping the war is a reason -- is more of a reason for Democratic supporters to try and go that extra mile, win those extra seats in the Senate, get a veto-proof majority. Those are strong rallying cries for Democrats, and if you look at the war numbers, Democrats, 80, 90 percent are united on the war compared to Republicans, who are broadly split on the war.

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    • Author by neondesert (July 24, 2007 6:24 pm ET)
         

      Ladies and gentlemen, I'll be brief. The issue here is not whether congressmen broke a few rules, or took a few liberties with their female party members - they did.  *wink*

      But you can't hold a whole congress responsible for the behavior of a few, sick twisted individuals. For if you do, then shouldn't we blame the whole legislative system? And if the whole legislative system is guilty, then isn't this an indictment of our governmental institutions in general? I put it to you, Natalie - isn't this an indictment of our entire Homeland society? Well, you can do whatever you want to republicans, but we're not going to sit here and listen to you badmouth the United States of the Homeland.

      Report Abuse
      • Author by pete592 (July 24, 2007 6:33 pm ET)
           

        You're not walking out on this one Mister!

        You're finished!

        No more MMFA!

        You've bought it this time, buster! 

        Report Abuse
        • Author by neondesert (July 24, 2007 9:53 pm ET)
             

          I surmise that the great "otter speech" could be adapted to any and all of the articles on MMfA today, and have half a mind to prove it.

          Thankfully, the other half is the sane half, so I won't. 

          Report Abuse
    • Author by newagestepper (July 24, 2007 6:48 pm ET)
         

      This whole question of the popularity of congress, whether baed on parties or the institution, is asham.  We do not vote for congess.  We vote forspecific representatives.  The more accurate question would be how popular are individual congressmen in the eyes of their constituents.  Representatives have often run against congress, the institution, which could be equated with why popularity is low.  But sine individual congressmen are voted on, the changing values dealing with them would be more important.  

      Report Abuse
    • Author by conleytgwinn (July 24, 2007 7:08 pm ET)
         

      Bush-bashing? BUSH-BASHING?

      When can we start? Can we hang Bungle from a limb, like a pinata? do I have to wear a blindfold? Is there a prize, or is the bashing its own reward? 

      Report Abuse
      • Author by conleytgwinn (July 24, 2007 7:13 pm ET)
           

        Should I bring my own bat, or is something standard furnished? Is there any plan for subsequent activities, such as Darth-bashing, Abu-bashing, Roberts-bashing, Alito-bashing, Scalia-bashing, Thomas-bashing, Goodling-bashing, Spakovsky-bashing . . .

        Is it too late to enroll "The Hammer" Delay for bashing?

        Report Abuse
    • Author by jdc_in_fc (July 24, 2007 7:15 pm ET)
         

      The Zogby question that seems to be so mysterious to MMFA (beatings for all of the research interns until performance improves) appears to be "Overall, how would you rate Congress' performance on the job?"  See: http://www.zogby.com/features/featuredtables.dbm?ID=155

      I think a bigger question regarding the Zogby poll is some ambiguity in the possible responses.  Zogby rates a "positive" response as "excellent" or "good"; however, presumably, a negative response is "poor" or "fair".  Again, see the above link for the numbers.  I always thought fair meant "ehh...okay, I guess."  American Heritage Dictionary defines fair as "Moderately good; acceptable or satisfactory."  I'm thinking a lot of people who don't have a negative opinion of Congress may be responding "fair". 

      Anyway, it really isn't the absolute numbers that are important; it is the trend in the poll, as the questions and possible responses are worded the same over time in a tracking poll.  As for the trends, the Post and Zogby tracking polls show the same results for Congressional performance: basically flat since the election.

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    • Author by redking75687 (July 24, 2007 8:39 pm ET)
         

      It's a good thing to see the Dems pulling the same rock-bottom poll numbers as the Repubs did before the change in majority. It just shows the People are smarter than the politicians think they are. We're waking up to the truth, we're smelling the war crimes, we're following the money and we're seeing the barely-invisible hand of AIPAC ruling our foreign policy. The corporate media is losing the fight to keep our minds enslaved, we're not buying into the Ignorance Is Strength crap they sell.

      Even more good news....Cindy Sheehan has declared she will run as an independent against that war criminal Pelosi in 2008!

      Report Abuse
      • Author by HuntingtonBeachLefty (July 24, 2007 11:52 pm ET)
           

        The Dems are acting quite a bit like Republicans, and so shouldn't expect much in the poll numbers.

        I'm just enjoying the desperation of the right wing media, that they're dying for congress to have low approval ratings as validation, somehow, that the GOP dominated bunch was great.

        On another note, I wouldn't kick Morales out of bed for  misidentifying any  poll but mine.

        Hi-Yooooo !

        Report Abuse

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