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Fox News' Gallagher repeated debunked seepage myth

September 16, 2008 9:43 am ET

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SUMMARY: On Fox News' The Live Desk, Trace Gallagher repeated a debunked oil drilling myth, claiming that "more oil seeps through the ground off the coast of California than is ever spilled out there. So you're going to have much more environmental damage." In fact, according to a County of Santa Barbara report, "The evidence is clear that, far from being invisible against a background of seeps, major spills can have far greater and qualitatively different impacts on the environment than do seeps."

85 Comments

During the September 15 edition of Fox News' The Live Desk, co-host Trace Gallagher repeated a debunked oil drilling myth, claiming that "more oil seeps through the ground off the coast of California than is ever spilled out there. So you're going to have much more environmental damage." In fact, a report by the County of Santa Barbara discussing the effects of natural seepage and oil spills, including a 1969 oil spill off the Santa Barbara coast that released an estimated 80,000 to 100,000 barrels of oil, stated that "major spills can have far greater" environmental impact than seeps have, as the blog Think Progress noted. In its report, the Santa Barbara County Planning and Development Energy Division stated that "a comparison of the impacts of seeps and spills based solely on volume would be misleading. The evidence is clear that, far from being invisible against a background of seeps, major spills can have far greater and qualitatively different impacts on the environment than do seeps."

From the September 15 edition of Fox News' The Live Desk with Martha and Trace:

GALLAGHER: And what William has reported on before, which he left out of this, is the fact that, you know, he said one barrel of oil spilled -- more oil seeps through the ground --

MacCALLUM: That's right.

GALLAGHER: -- off the coast of California than is ever spilled out there. So you're going to have much more environmental damage. William, am I right here? You're still on camera. Much more oil seeps through the ground than is ever spilled?

LA JEUNESSE: That's right, Trace. About 60 percent of all the oil in the marine environment has come there natural, from seepage, and then followed by consumers and runoff from urban areas.

MacCALLUM: Right.

LA JEUNESSE: The amount of oil that comes out of platforms and drilling is less than 3 percent. A much bigger risk, and environmentalists will admit this, are tankers. So you've got 2,000 tankers going around the world --

GALLAGHER: Right.

MacCALLUM: Right.

LA JEUNESSE: -- much more dangerous than simply tapping it using offshore drilling. But this, of course, is just one of those bellwether issues that environmentalists are fighting on, because they fear, if we have more oil, that makes alternative energy technically more expensive, and only prolongs the period that we're on fossil fuels. And that is the much bigger debate that is going on in Congress, kind of the story behind the story, about why we may have an energy bill with no energy. Trace. Martha.

MacCALLUM: No, it's a great story. And just one last thought on it. You know, there's all this pressure about the oil companies, and, "Oh they make so much money." Oil companies have spent a tremendous amount of money researching and making this process as clean as possible, and they've done a pretty good job of it. When you look at the numbers of what actually gets spilled out there, it's extremely minimal. So something everybody needs to know to get the full picture of the story, you know?

GALLAGHER: It's very -- and that was pretty much the full picture.

MacCALLUM: And what a great job William did doing that.

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    • Author by JLyons (September 16, 2008 9:56 am ET)
         
      More lies from the great people at FOX News. What was even more sickening was at the GOP Convention, when all the dumbA** Republicans would yell'Drill Baby Drill". No plan for alternative energy , just lets drill and destoy what is left of Americans wilderness and enviornment. Horrible people.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by wzwriter (September 16, 2008 10:13 am ET)
           

        Horrible people.

        I knew they were horrible people back in 2004, when they were sporting their "Purple Heart Band-Aids" at their convention.  How nice of them to insult thousands of servicemen and women who were injured in the line of duty simply to attack one man - John Kerry.

        r3829590006.jpg

        Report Abuse
        • Author by worrierking (September 16, 2008 10:25 am ET)
             
          While they mocked a veteran who served his country they were supporting two men who went above and beyond the call to avoid and shirk their duties.

          Funny thing is that the two Republicans on the top of the ticket in '04 both supported the war in which Kerry fought. As long as someone else's ass was in the field.
          Report Abuse
          • Author by RoberttheP (September 16, 2008 10:40 am ET)
               
            I agree the way Kerry was treated was disgusting, just like now McCain is being treated in a disgusting manner by many liberal blogs .
            Report Abuse
            • Author by worrierking (September 16, 2008 10:54 am ET)
                 
              Liberal blogs are not the same as a large group of delegates to the 2004 Republican National Convention.

              I don't condone liberal blogs treating McCain's service in any way. But there is no comparison between these two incidents.

              The 2004 Republican National Convention should be required viewing for all who are serving in the military today. Unless we change the tone of the discourse in this country, the same fate awaits them as soon as they disagree with the government and exercise the free speech rights they and others including Kerry fought to protect.
              Report Abuse
              • Author by mk3872 (September 16, 2008 2:52 pm ET)
                   
                Ah, yes, it is 100% comparable, is it? Kerry fought on the ground and in the jungle on a swiftboat and received medals. McCain crashed 5 airplanes and was captured. What we need is a leader. Not just a good [sic] soldier.
                Report Abuse
            • Author by onionhead (September 16, 2008 12:28 pm ET)
                 

              What about the way Obama has been smeared by McCain and the republican party?

              Belittling his age is not the same as belittling someone's military service.

              Report Abuse
              • Author by onionhead (September 16, 2008 12:30 pm ET)
                   
                Sorry, I meant "belittling McCain's age".  I know of no Democratic Strategist who attacked McCains service. 
                Report Abuse
            • Author by friedbergboy1422 (September 16, 2008 12:31 pm ET)
                 

              Bob,

              How would you compare the treatment of McCain's service at the 2008 DNC to the treatment of Kerry's at the 2004 RNC?  I think if you are going to make comparisons, comparing blogs to conventions is unfair.

              Report Abuse
              • Author by RoberttheP (September 16, 2008 1:21 pm ET)
                   
                No comparision, MCain has been treated well by the DNC especially compared to how the RNC treated John Kerry who in my humble opinion is a hero.
                Report Abuse
                • Author by friedbergboy1422 (September 16, 2008 1:50 pm ET)
                     

                  So, why compare blogs to conventions?  Unless you know of some connection by the bloggers directly to the party, anyone has the right to be an idiot (meaning people who go too far).

                  On the other hand, Republicans, at their conventions, have been straight-up nasty to both Kerry and Obama.

                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by tman418 (September 16, 2008 5:13 pm ET)
                       
                    Even Jon Stewart was like, "SH*T on him!" When Kerry, Obama, Biden, and Bill Clinton gave compliments to McCain at their DNC. Obama also never questions McCain's patriotism nor his willingness to do good for the country. He just questions whether McCain "gets it" or "understands" how to do it.

                    You know, I think that the Democrats need to get just as nasty as the GOP. It's unfortunate to do so, but it resonates.
                    Report Abuse
            • Author by peebs755 (September 16, 2008 2:15 pm ET)
                 
              Yeah. And the right wing blogs have been so fair and nice to Obama.
              Report Abuse
      • Author by RoberttheP (September 16, 2008 10:39 am ET)
           
        JLyons- The only HORRIBLE person is you and the other partisans who again will exploit anything such as energy policy for partisan reasons.  Your a prime example of why America is a divided nation. 
        Report Abuse
        • Author by Governor (September 16, 2008 10:50 am ET)
             
          That makes absolutely no sense, if there's only one 'horrible' person, then American could not possibly be divided.
          Report Abuse
          • Author by RoberttheP (September 16, 2008 10:53 am ET)
               
            America is dividied because of partisans like you and JLyons. Is that better?
            Report Abuse
            • Author by Governor (September 16, 2008 10:54 am ET)
                 
              You're giving us way too much credit.
              Report Abuse
            • Author by worrierking (September 16, 2008 10:57 am ET)
                 
              Blame two anonymous posters on a website for the divide in this country.

              Where is the blame for the party that's been preaching your either with us or against us?

              Where is the blame for the party that questions the patriotism of any who disagree with them?

              Where is the blame for the party which calls honorable people traitors?
              Report Abuse
              • Author by foghornleghorn (September 16, 2008 12:01 pm ET)
                   
                Like Ari the liar once said, you're either for us or against us, Bob.  And by us he wasn't talking about the U.S. in general, but W's administration policies.
                Report Abuse
            • Author by wzwriter (September 16, 2008 11:02 am ET)
                 

              America is dividied because of partisans like you and JLyons. Is that better?

              That's very partisan of you, Bob.

              Report Abuse
              • Author by RoberttheP (September 16, 2008 11:05 am ET)
                   
                I want to talk about issues, not sit here and type how we all hate Bush and Republicans. Get a brain people.
                Report Abuse
            • Author by Pyrrhonist (September 16, 2008 11:47 am ET)
                 

              America is divided because of the current incarnation of the Republican Party, whose only campaign themes since 1968 have been hate and fear.  The details change but the resentment theme is always the same. 

              Speaking of making film footage of the 2008 GOP convention required viewing, the Democratic Party should make a film montage of all of the GOP conventions for the last 40 years and use it in a campaign ad. Maybe the Dittoheads and Hannityites in this country would finally see how cynically and consistently they are being used to thwart their own interests.  

              Report Abuse
        • Author by Brabantio (September 16, 2008 10:54 am ET)
             

          "No plan for alternative energy , just lets drill and destoy what is left of Americans wilderness and enviornment."

          Our environment is a "partisan" reason?  That's interesting. 

          Report Abuse
        • Author by JLyons (September 16, 2008 11:12 am ET)
             

          Bob

          You are a piece of trash.  And not worth my time.

          Report Abuse
        • Author by IRONY 101 (September 16, 2008 11:32 am ET)
             

          Your a prime example of why America is a divided nation. 

          Sorry, Bob, but that ship sailed a long time ago when Republicans decided to run their campaigns based upon wedge issues such as, for example, abortion rights and gay marriage. Credit Karl Rove with that and save your homilies for someone who hasn't followed politics as long as many of us have.

          Report Abuse
          • Author by RoberttheP (September 16, 2008 11:48 am ET)
               
            Karl Rove is a liar and scum, and i am not sure what he has to do with how some partisans on here want to smear McCain about his age? 
            Report Abuse
            • Author by foghornleghorn (September 16, 2008 12:03 pm ET)
                 
              Hey, reminding people that Gramps is old is not a smear - its the truth.  And old people generally tend to forget things, fall asleep, etc.  Not something I want in a president even if he is Super POWman.
              Report Abuse
            • Author by peebs755 (September 16, 2008 2:24 pm ET)
                 

              Who's "smearing about his age"? asking about it is completely legitimate. He'll be the oldest President we've ever had IF he's elected. By the way, Tom Delay Republican House Leader was one of the biggest dividers I've seen in my lifetime. (53 yrs. old) The right wing has done more to make this a divided country than the left for the last almost twenty years. K Street Project anyone? Threatening to do away with the filibuster anyone? Redistricting before census anyone? Questioning someone's patriotism because they disagree anyone? Lots more where those came from. 

              Report Abuse
        • Author by leftinmississippi (September 16, 2008 11:34 am ET)
             
          Wait a second - which side is exploiting energy policy for polical gain?
          Report Abuse
      • Author by snoopy (September 16, 2008 12:32 pm ET)
           

        god, I am having such a hard time maintaining my composure this morning! McCain's campaign advisor just said that McCain invented the blackberry! I poop you not! McCain, who can't send e-mails because he was tortured as a POW invented the most hand intensive piece of technology of the 21st century! I'll post it a little later, but in the meantime, with oil at $97 a barrel, I thought it would be a good time to bring back another oldy but goodie! Courtesy of Think Progress, y'all...

        Rep. Sali: There ‘Could Be Up To Forty Barrels Of Oil In A Single Tree’»

        sali1.jpgRep. Bill Sali (R-ID), who is participating in the GOP’s ongoing “Drill Now” energy stunt, has a unique idea about how to bring down gas prices: extracting oil from trees. In a meeting in his Capitol Hill office, Sali reportedly told a candidate for Idaho’s House of Representatives, Byron Yankey, that there “‘could be up to 40 barrels of oil‘ in a single tree.” Yankey wrote on his campaign blog:

        Congressman Sali informed us that a solution to the high price of gasoline was to make petroleum from “all those trees in our forests.” … He continued by saying there “could be up to 40 barrels of oil” in a single tree.

        Sali made a similar comment in 2006:

        “Forty percent of the mass of every tree in the forest is crude oil,” he said. Going after that, he said, “could put Idaho in the oil business for the first time.”

        Sali is apparently confusing cellulosic ethanol with oil, so let’s review the differences for the representative:

        Cellulosic ethanol is a renewable fuelderived from the stalks and stems of plants.” Sali voted against cellulosic ethanol tax credits.

        Oil is a nonrenewable fuel found in the ground. Sali received $35,000 in campaign contributions from oil and gas companies since January 2007.

        Sali is prone to making outlandish statements. Last summer, he claimed that religious diversity in Congress was not “envisioned by the Founding Fathers.”

        Report Abuse
        • Author by pithaughn (September 16, 2008 1:09 pm ET)
             
          I don't thing the General Sherman tree is in ID, last time I looked it was still in Sequoia Nat. Park. Although I'm not sure even the biggest tree in the world would have that much ethanol potential.
          Report Abuse
        • Author by darkmass (September 16, 2008 8:22 pm ET)
             

          "there 'could be up to 40 barrels of oil' in a single tree." - Congressman Sali

          Oh, Snoopy, that's fun.

          Yes, folks, it's time for another episode of Mr. Calculator!  We will assume that Congressman Sali's 40 barrels of oil in a single tree is spot on correct.  The U.S. oil usage amounts to 21 million barrels per day.  See where this is going?  If we clear our forests of a mere 525,000 trees per day (of course the oil has to be squeezed out as well), the U.S. will be entirely OPEC independent!  Take that, A-rabs!!

          Chop, baby, chop!

          Report Abuse
    • Author by Brabantio (September 16, 2008 10:13 am ET)
         

      "more oil seeps through the ground off the coast of California than is ever spilled out there. So you're going to have much more environmental damage."

      Correct me if I'm wrong, but if something happens naturally, doesn't nature sort of take it into account, adapt to it on its own?  If fish don't live near where the seepage occurs, that's different from having an oil spill in an area where the fish actually are.  It's like I chopped down a tree and it landed on someone's house, and I said "hey, trees fall down in the forest all the time.  That's a much bigger problem."

      Report Abuse
      • Author by NiceguyEddie (September 16, 2008 10:41 am ET)
           
        It's also a question of concentration.  Seeps are slow, so the overall concentration stays low.  The oil is absorbed by the natural system and processed accordingly.  (That whole evolution thing the Right doesn't want taught in our schools....)  But a SPILL overwhelms the natural systems by quickly increasing concentration levels WAY beyond what the natural systems can deal with, and killing everything that can adapt.  (Which is just about everything in the area.)
        Report Abuse
      • Author by MA_KsBornDem (September 16, 2008 1:35 pm ET)
           
        You know this seepage argument kind of reminds me of the argument that 'volcanoe's are the cause of most CO2' in the air.  Rush said it so it must be true!
        Report Abuse
    • Author by IRONY 101 (September 16, 2008 10:21 am ET)
         
      Someone please enlighten me, but I recall reading somewhere that the drilling of offshore wells, even if the wells have long been capped, results in fissures through which remaining oil may seep. As I recall that was one argument against offshore drilling in California, that is the long term effect as California has already experienced considerable seepage as a result of the number of wells previously drilled offshore there.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by ultrasanktpauli (September 16, 2008 10:35 am ET)
           
        wait for this argument: Offshore platforms become veritable artificial reefs ENHANCING the marine fishery.

        until they break open and wipe everything out.
        Report Abuse
        • Author by worrierking (September 16, 2008 11:02 am ET)
             
          How's this argument?

          The left is always defending Darwinism.

          Won't the species effected by the oil spills learn to adapt? After all, isn't adaptation one of the tenets of the Evolutionist's religion.

          Nothing would surprise me anymore after hearing about McCain's claim that when he speaks of the "fundamentals" of our economy, he's talking about working people.

          We've gone beyond Orwell.
          Report Abuse
          • Author by IRONY 101 (September 16, 2008 11:10 am ET)
               

            McCain is beginning to reveal himself more and more as a confused and petulant old man.

            Report Abuse
            • Author by RoberttheP (September 16, 2008 11:11 am ET)
                 
              Why attack him because of  his age? Why not go after him on the issues only without bringing age into the issue?
              Report Abuse
              • Author by IRONY 101 (September 16, 2008 11:14 am ET)
                   
                Because John McCain is acting like a confused, petulant man of 72, which gives me great concern about his ability to lead this country at a complex and critical stage.
                Report Abuse
              • Author by skeptical (September 16, 2008 11:23 am ET)
                   

                Bob,

                Then present an issue that you would like to discuss.  Stop calling people names, stop binging up partison statements, stop doing what you accuse everyone else of doing and discuss a topic!

                Report Abuse
                • Author by IRONY 101 (September 16, 2008 11:26 am ET)
                     
                  ...but McCain acting like a confused, petulant old man is not a pertinent topic in Bob's world.
                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by RoberttheP (September 16, 2008 11:46 am ET)
                       
                    Making fun of old people is as bad as racial slurs and slurs against someones sexuality. It is wrong. Why the double standard?
                    Report Abuse
                    • Author by Governor (September 16, 2008 11:50 am ET)
                         

                      People grow old.  

                       

                      Report Abuse
                    • Author by Pyrrhonist (September 16, 2008 11:52 am ET)
                         
                      You call JLyons a horrible person, then jump Irony for a personal attack? The fact - the issue - he points out is valid.  McCain is old and appears to have lost some of the mental acuity he exhibited in his previous presidential run.  It may not be pleasant but it's true and it is worrisome, especially considering his chosen running mate.
                      Report Abuse
                      • Author by IRONY 101 (September 16, 2008 11:59 am ET)
                           

                        In my observation and opinion this grueling campaign is taking its toll on McCain. The presidency ages people quickly...and John McCain is already 72 years old. It's a legitmate area of discussion. If Bob doesn't like the jokes about McCain then let him go elsewhere...a place where Barack Obama is the brunt of jokes.

                        Report Abuse
                      • Author by worrierking (September 16, 2008 12:00 pm ET)
                           
                        Correct. Age is one of the most important issues of this election. Why is it that it's not a valid thing to talk about?

                        McCain has ridiculed Obama many times because of his youth, but we're not allowed to mention McCain's age?

                        Now that McCain has picked a creationist, book banning, vindictive hockey mom who likes to kill animals from moving vehicles, it should be in the forefront of any discussion about issues.

                        Could this pick be a sign of his faculties failing? Or is it just another instance of the "Mavrick's" pandering to those who until recently he considered to be agents of intolerance, the religious right?
                        Report Abuse
                    • Author by peebs755 (September 16, 2008 2:34 pm ET)
                         
                      Bob seems to think just talking about his age is "making fun of him". He's not really getting this whole "discussion" thing. Bob, calling him a petulant old man is not making fun. Its a criticism. Which is legitimate. Figure it out.
                      Report Abuse
              • Author by ultrasanktpauli (September 16, 2008 11:55 am ET)
                   
                his age is a huge issue. are you kidding? look at my dad...falling asleep in the chair at 9:00 p.m. He can't hear hardly as good, his reactions are slow...and he gets "lazy" in that it takes so much more work to do the same stuff he used to do...and he's my dad. A trout fisherman, not the leader of the free world.

                but palin is mc cain's number two pick, so i guess you and i can rest easy.
                Report Abuse
                • Author by IRONY 101 (September 16, 2008 12:01 pm ET)
                     
                  She can see Russia from Alaska...   ;>)
                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by ultrasanktpauli (September 16, 2008 12:03 pm ET)
                       
                    she used the term "la la land"...ever been to alaska? i used to work up there...talk about la la land. in the words of homer simpson, 'you gotta love a place where you can't get too drunk or too fat."
                    Report Abuse
            • Author by wesley (September 16, 2008 12:49 pm ET)
                 

               -- a confused and petulant old man. -- irony

              He must be confusing the electorate as well...Obama's early lead has fizzled.

              RCP calls the current electoral race...McCain 227...Obama 207.

              Looking at the latest state polls...McCain leads Obama 39 - 4.

              Minn/Mich/Virg/Penn are ties.

              McCain 227 + 39 = 266

              Obama 207 + 4 = 211

              Age could very well be a factor in this race. Obama is young enough to have another chance in 2012...and re-fight the Hillary crowd.

              Report Abuse
              • Author by Col. Harlan Sanders (September 16, 2008 12:54 pm ET)
                   
                Thanks, poll boy. That is one strange little hobby you got there.
                Report Abuse
              • Author by tippy (September 16, 2008 1:20 pm ET)
                   
                So, what you're saying is that, even using Wesleymath, McCain has slipped 3 electoral votes from the 12th?  
                Report Abuse
              • Author by foghornleghorn (September 16, 2008 1:21 pm ET)
                   
                As soon as everyone finds out that Caribou Barbie is a grandmother (yes, her daughter bore their disabled child), it'll be all over for Pistol Palin and POW McCain.  At least I hope it will.  Can't underestimate the liars and spin meisters these days. 
                Report Abuse
              • Author by skeptical (September 16, 2008 2:24 pm ET)
                   

                Wesley,

                You can't mix and match polls.  According to RCP there are 104 toss up votes.  Obama currently leads in Colorado, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, New Hampshire and MInnesota.  That's 66 more votes.  McCain leads in Ohio and Nevada.  That's 25 additional votes.  Virginia is a tie with 13 votes.  So, Obama has 273 vs. McCain's 252 with 13 up for grabs.

                For someone who doesn't believe in polls, as you've previously stated, you go a long way to distort them.

                Report Abuse
                • Author by wesley (September 16, 2008 3:56 pm ET)
                     

                  No distortion...you're using the average of polls...some a month old or more. I prefer to look at the latest poll numbers...reflecting the current situation.

                  I hope you enjoyed your trip to the RCP site...hope you learned something for your effort.

                  The polls are not predictors of the final outcome...they are indicators of the current trend...one that finds Obama's once large lead has eroded. Simpletons will watch the national polling numbers...but the real story is the outcome of the key battleground states.

                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by skeptical (September 16, 2008 4:09 pm ET)
                       

                    Wesley,

                    Don't pull that crap with me.  The numbers I cited are right off RCP's website today with up to date polls.

                    You distorted or took numbers from some other poll.

                    If not, provide the link to prove your numbers.

                    Report Abuse
                    • Author by Pyrrhonist (September 16, 2008 4:15 pm ET)
                         
                      Yes, Wesley, break down your numbers and let's look at them.  How did you reach your EC totals? And don't just refer us to RCP and tell us to "do our homework", because we know what they say. Defend your math. 
                      Report Abuse
                      • Author by wesley (September 16, 2008 4:30 pm ET)
                           

                        Ok...anything to help Heckle and Jeckle.

                        RCP assigns electoral votes by state. They start with state that are solid/leaning to each candidate...there you find Obama 207...McCain 227.

                        Next they list 9 toss up states with 104 electoral votes. Now pay attention because here comes your homework. Look at the most current poll in each toss up state. There you will find that McCain leads Obama by 39-4 with MN/MI/PA/VA tied with 61 votes pending.

                        Now you two can get cracking...glad to help.

                        Report Abuse
                        • Author by Pyrrhonist (September 16, 2008 4:44 pm ET)
                             
                          Seriously, Wesley, I do respect a person who call pull an argument out of his/her a@@ and go with it - I'm a trial lawyer myself and I've done that over the years with varying degrees of success and failure.  However, once you throw something out there, you have to be able to back it up. Insulting the other side's intelligence is the last defense of a weak position - unless your true goal is to give offense rather than to persuade,  in which case, carry on brother, you're nailing it. Otherwise, how exactly does today's state breakdown get you to your EC number, really?
                          Report Abuse
                          • Author by wesley (September 16, 2008 5:02 pm ET)
                               

                            It's really very simple...sorry you're struggling with the concept and the math.

                            Here's a little tip for you...the latest poll, released today, shows PA tied...hence neither candidate gets credit for the 21 electoral votes. Do the math for each toss up state and there you have it. McCain 266 - Obama 211 with the remaining 61 electoral votes unassigned to either candidate.

                            Save your breath on any speeches about margins of error...I'm fully aware of how they work. This method makes it very simple to check daily for the current trends...state by state...and that is where the race will be won or lost...in those key battleground states.

                            I'm also aware that different polling outfits can produce different results...but I'm only looking for trends. I'm not a campaign manager...just a curious voter.

                            I'll say it again...the polls are not predictors...they are indicators of the current trend. If you want to use dated polling averages, 8 ball cubes, or tarot cards...matters not to me.

                             

                            Report Abuse
                            • Author by Pyrrhonist (September 16, 2008 5:12 pm ET)
                                 

                              I prefer to use RCP's data that way RCP uses it.  You still have not addressed Skeptical's argument, other than to make juvenile comments that all boil down to nannynannybooboo.  You wouldn't survive summary judgment, bucky.

                              Report Abuse
                              • Author by wesley (September 16, 2008 5:21 pm ET)
                                   

                                nannynannybooboo...oh lord...I'm lmao on that one.

                                I wondered what court manners and jargon they were teaching in law school...now I know. Instead of stuttering or sputtering an objection to the judge...you can fire off a raucus "nannynannybooboo"...I'll bet that works every time.

                                I couldn't care less how you look at the race...I'm not trying to persuade you of any argument. But I can tell you this without requiring a retainer fee...the current trend shows Obama - down...and McCain - up...so help me god...and lol.

                                 

                                Report Abuse
                                • Author by skeptical (September 16, 2008 10:34 pm ET)
                                     

                                  Like I said Wes,

                                  You can't mix and match polls.  RCP shows Obama way ahead. 

                                  So what you are doing is making stuff up with distortions, like I said originally.

                                  Nice job.

                                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by BillJ-MN (September 16, 2008 8:34 pm ET)
                       

                    Simpletons will watch the national polling numbers...but the real story is the outcome of the key battleground states. - Wesley

                    Simpletons disregard the national polls at their own peril.  It's extremely unusual for large numbers of states to trend in opposite directions from each other.  When you see properly done national polls consistently moving in one direction it's highly likely that most of the individual state polls will trend the same way.

                    It's also a fact that the sites that put together all of those state polls (not all of which follow great statistical procedures, but those that don't get cited anyway) always lag the national polls in those trends.  When the national polls were a few days into the Palin novelty bump, sites like RCP and Electoral-vote.com were still showing Obama with a strong electoral vote margin.  It took a few days for that to shrink on those sites, but those of us who saw the national trends still expected it before we saw it.

                    Now we've been seeing the McCain bump steadily shrinking in the national polls.  The trend I pointed out to you last weekend has continued.  No bouncing, just a slow and steady decline.  I expect to see that trend continue and it will probably be reflected in the national electoral maps in the next five or six days.

                    Please feel free to take whatever scant comfort you are able to from the current RCP numbers.  It's not an indication of a trend.  It represents McCain's peak.  As we shall soon see reflected in polls all over.

                    Report Abuse
          • Author by Col. Harlan Sanders (September 16, 2008 11:39 am ET)
               

            Grampy's got backup from "Independent" commentator BilldO. Last night, the Factor focused on the economy, and BO's take was that the fundamentals are sound (as McCain said), it just that "craziness' with the housing thing. If they can convince enough Americans that the current problems with banks and housing are completely unrelated and separate issues from the economy, they may do pretty well.

            I guess the voting bloc they need is the same people who are so bad at math and logic that they don't understand the difference betwen natural oil seepage and a massive concentrated spill.

            Report Abuse
            • Author by worrierking (September 16, 2008 12:04 pm ET)
                 
              Hey Colonel. I liked you post in the other thread about how you like to mingle with the unwashed masses.

              Oh, and nice threads. You didn't mention your top-hat, but of course, a gentleman removes his top-hat when riding in a motor car.
              Report Abuse
              • Author by Col. Harlan Sanders (September 16, 2008 12:35 pm ET)
                   
                A bit self-serving with your compliments W-King. I believe you served as my fashion advisor when I had nothing but a monogrammed blazer. 
                Report Abuse
                • Author by worrierking (September 16, 2008 12:38 pm ET)
                     
                  I remember those days well.

                  All you needed was the addition of the ascot to wear with the blazer and I knew that the world would be your oyster.
                  Report Abuse
    • Author by eweston8542983 (September 16, 2008 12:01 pm ET)
         

      We professional hazardous material people know for sure, maybe, that there is a difference between what we call a chronic and an acute dose of your everyday down to earth toxin.

      Ignoring this difference is defined in the profession as, "stuupid."

      Report Abuse
    • Author by mercado (September 16, 2008 12:48 pm ET)
         

      God ole Trace Gallagher claimed in a couple of his onlone bio's that he was a graduate of The University of San Diego!

      A quick e-mail in between Christmas and New Years Day (last year) to the Registrar's Office, I  was e-mailed back the next day and the word was that Trace had attended the University, but "Did Not" graduate! 

      His big claim to fame before being a lying puppet on Faux New was that he was a water skier at Africa World, San Diego and Six Flags in New Jersey !

      Report Abuse
    • Author by dexteritas0071418 (September 16, 2008 3:04 pm ET)
         

      The Dems introduced a doozy energy bill last night, with NO amendments offered. No drilling within 50 miles of coastline, and no profit sharing (that's how Lousiana makes almost ALL of its oil revenues right now, some 30% of their state budget.) Oh, you can drill 100 miles offshore, except that only 2 states currently have the infrastructure to do so, and wouldn't anyway because of the profit-sharing clause.

      They sure did whine when the Repubs did this sort of legislative crap when they were in power. Change? Hardly.

      Oh, and that crook Rangel's district gets $1.1 billion in pork included in the bill as well; I suppose regardless of whether he retains his chair of the Ways & Means.

      Change? Hardly.

      Report Abuse

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