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Wash. Post reported investor concern over partial analysis of recovery package, but not rebuttal

January 24, 2009 5:40 pm ET
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SUMMARY: The Washington Post reported, "Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, said he was skeptical of the stimulus package because much of the spending in it may come well after the crisis is over, as a report from the Congressional Budget Office has suggested." But the Post did not include a response from the Obama administration or the Democratic leadership anywhere in the same edition of the newspaper.

23 Comments

In a January 24 Washington Post article, staff writer Peter Whoriskey mentioned investor attitudes toward President Obama's economic recovery package and wrote: "Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, said he was skeptical of the stimulus package because much of the spending in it may come well after the crisis is over, as a report from the Congressional Budget Office has suggested." However, Whoriskey did not include any response from the Obama administration or the Democratic leadership to the CBO analysis in the article or anywhere else in the January 24 print edition of the newspaper.

As Media Matters for America noted, in a January 22 letter, Office of Management and Budget director Peter Orszag -- who formerly headed the CBO -- refuted the Republican claim based on the partial analysis that most of the money would not be spent until after 2010. Orszag stated that the CBO "analysis, however, did not assess the overall package." He added: "Our analysis indicates that at least 75 percent of the overall package (including its tax component and the other spending provisions that were not analyzed by the Congressional Budget Office) will be spent over the next year and a half."

Indeed, in a January 23 article posted on washingtonpost.com, the Associated Press noted that in response to Republican criticism of the recovery package based on the CBO analysis, "[t]he administration countered with a promise that 75 percent of the entire measure would reach the economy over the next year and a half, according to a letter sent by White House Budget Director Peter Orszag to top lawmakers."

Nor did Whoriskey's January 24 article note the Democratic leadership's criticism of the CBO analysis, which the Post previously mentioned in a January 21 article:

House Democrats and administration officials said that by leaving out the tax cuts and spending on the poor, the CBO report focuses on the slowest-spending parts of the proposal. Even there, small changes to the measure could have a huge effect, they said. For instance, Democrats said that if states were given a different deadline for spending highway money, analysts predict the spend-out rate would be accelerated significantly.

"The new CBO report does not take into account the fastest spending provisions in the bill, leaving the false impression that the overall spend-out rates are slower than they actually are," said Brendan Daly, a spokesman for House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.). "These provisions will go out quickly to give the economy a jolt while others will represent down payments on crucial priorities for our economic future -- investments in clean energy, health care, education and repairing our nation's infrastructure."

From Whoriskey's January 24 Washington Post article:

At least some of the high hopes leading into January grew out of anticipation that the incoming Obama administration would fix things -- and fast.

But at least some analysts said investors have been disappointed by the $825 billion economic stimulus package that has been proposed and by the ongoing uncertainty over what the government will do to prop up the banks.

Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, said he was skeptical of the stimulus package because much of the spending in it may come well after the crisis is over, as a report from the Congressional Budget Office has suggested.

He criticized its varied components -- some for health-care technology, some for energy, some for tax breaks, and so on -- as amounting to a "kitchen sink" approach.

"I don't think there's a great deal of confidence that the fiscal stimulus program that's being put together will do much good," Yardeni said. "While I hate to say the honeymoon is over this early, it certainly seems that way given the way that the stock market and bond market are behaving."

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    • Author by WorldlyMrR (January 24, 2009 5:52 pm ET)
         

      Ed Yardeni commented on the parts of the plan as one of the resons he was bearish on Obama's approach.  Again i ask, MMFA put together a detailed analysis and test whether or not you believe the plan will provide near-term, mid-yerm or somewhere out in the future benefits.  

      Why all this concern over the rhetoric while we all watch our retirement savings disappear.  By proving Obama and the Dems are correct it will then silence those right side wingnuts...

      Report Abuse
      • Author by mr. l (January 24, 2009 9:55 pm ET)
           

        No it won't.... look at the last decade or so- the republicants on tee-vee and radio and the new intraweboftheworld do everything in their power to discredit ANYTHING the dems do or say, or what they IMAGINE the dems do or say.

        Report Abuse
    • Author by oscar the grouch (January 24, 2009 10:06 pm ET)
         

      It is going to take time for $$ allocated for infrastructure to make its way into the economy.  Projects have to be planned (including the mountains of pre-bid paper work).  It could well be 2010 or later before the big $$ hit the economy.  In the meantime, take your $10/week and don't spend it all in one place (but spend it!!!!).

      Report Abuse
    • Author by TadekKorn (January 25, 2009 2:35 am ET)
         

      Don't you love it when

      Yardeni said. "While I hate to say the honeymoon is over this early, it certainly seems that way given the way that the stock market and bond market are behaving."

      So.  Two days into the "marriage" and "the honeymoon is over?"  I suggest that Mr. Yardeni has been divorced from reality long before the honeymoon even began.  To link current fluctuations in stock and bond markets to the as yet not implemented Obama policies is absurd.  The argument Yarden presents betrays his motive.  Since, he argues, the stimulous package will only kick in "after the crisis is over" he's setting up the premise that the stimulous package has nothing to do with ending the crisis!  Such brilliant rationalizations and analyses are perhaps among the reasons for our current financial crisis!  It also helps justify what so many financial pundits are probably complicit in doing: doing their best to assure that the stimulous funding does NOT reach the people and the businesses to which they are supposed to be directed.

      Report Abuse
    • Author by TadekKorn (January 25, 2009 3:22 am ET)
         

      By the way, it should also be noted that in an interview with Susie Gharib on the Nightly Business Report (Oct. 13, 2008) Ed Yardeni predicted that the Dow Jones industrials would be "back to 11,000 and maybe 12,000 between now and year-end, 13,000 is not inconceivable, but I'm not going to push my luck here."  It's unclear what interest the Washington Post has in citing the comments of any "investment strategist," especially those whose main function over the last decade appears to have been little more than to serve as megaphones for screaming "buy, buy, buy!" 

      Report Abuse
      • Author by onionhead (January 25, 2009 12:43 pm ET)
           

        Chimp boy?

        Report Abuse
        • Author by pearlene_scott1602 (January 25, 2009 3:19 pm ET)
             

          Former Dem used "chimp boy" to get a reaction. It's the same as when he used "something that rimes with bigger".

          He'll them say he meant nothing by the comment and we liberals are too sensitive.

          This is what passes for conservative commentary. 

          Report Abuse
          • Author by jjamele2880 (January 25, 2009 3:43 pm ET)
               

            You beat me to it, Pearlene.  Eventually Former Democrat, now Bigoted Brain-Dead Lunatic, will eventually post that the racism is not in his post, but in our own minds.

            I think if he keeps it up, we really ought to start flagging his comments.  I'm for freedom of speech, but his racist smears aren't adding a thing to the conversation.  All he does is hijack threads with his slime.

            Report Abuse
            • Author by pearlene_scott1602 (January 25, 2009 8:29 pm ET)
                 

              jj & onionhead, you have to pity folks like Former Democrat. Imagine going through life, day after day, and still having the brain function of a 2 year old.

              In the words of The United Negro College fund campaign slogan; "A mind is a terrible thing to waste".

              Report Abuse
              • Author by BillJ-MN (January 25, 2009 9:58 pm ET)
                   

                Or, in the words of former veep Dan Quayle, "You take the United Negro College Fund model that what a waste it is to lose one's mind or not to have a mind is being very wasteful."

                Report Abuse
          • Author by onionhead (January 25, 2009 4:12 pm ET)
               

             That is really sad.  I can't think of anything else to type but "that is really sad".

            Report Abuse
      • Author by pithaughn (January 25, 2009 1:00 pm ET)
           

        First off, what's with the "chimp boy"? That is an overtly racist thing to say. Please  apologize.

        Next your $850 billion dollars of pork projects is my desperately needed highway, a repaired cieling in a school, a municipal building that wastes 50% of the energy used to heat and cool, so get off your high horse.

        Report Abuse
        • Author by eweston8542983 (January 25, 2009 3:16 pm ET)
             

          Neither the first, nor last racist coment from a FD. He presents such a wonderful example of the illumimating powers of neocon thought. And a mouth set on full spleen.

          Report Abuse
        • Author by oscar the grouch (January 25, 2009 4:54 pm ET)
             

          It does appear to be a racist remark, but as an insult it is any worse than what was hurled at the previous President from posters on this website.

          Report Abuse
          • Author by oscar the grouch (January 25, 2009 4:55 pm ET)
               

            is=isn't,

            Report Abuse
          • Author by roundhouse (January 25, 2009 5:04 pm ET)
               

            Right, it's no worse because racial slurs were always thrown at Bush. Got it. It's OK if you're a Republican. 

            Report Abuse
          • Author by eweston8542983 (January 25, 2009 5:06 pm ET)
               

            A point of sorts Oscar. I refferred to him as shrub in membrance of Molly Ivins. Shrub gave us many years to decide on an opinion though his acts. Most of the insults came from what he did, not what he was as a person.

            FD's coment is directed towards what he is as a person, not though sufference of of his acts as president.

            Good to see Pearlene putting an oar back into the waters. :)

            Report Abuse
      • Author by 1st Republic 14th Star (January 25, 2009 6:02 pm ET)
           

        Look Alleged Former Democrat.  Bush was routinely insulted.  So were Clinton, the first Bush, Reagan, Carter, Ford, Nixon -- even Lincoln and Washington.  The difference is that the insults weren't racist in character.  You want to call Obama stupid, shallow, shortsighted, suffering from memory loss, corrupt, overly religious? That's your right.  You want to call him a ni**er and compare him to monkeys and apes, as you did in your previous posts?  That's completely different.  You need to stop, and I don't want to read any of your "who, me?" coments, either.  You know what you're doing and so do we, and you need to stop.  Now.

        Report Abuse
    • Author by Former Democrat (January 26, 2009 12:29 am ET)
         

      Wow. 8 years of calling GWB chimp and monkey boy with routine frequency and nothing but applause from the like-minded posters here. But call Obama chimp boy, and look out!! You hypocrits are pathetic.

      Report Abuse
      • Author by mr. l (January 26, 2009 8:11 am ET)
           

        So are you calling Obama 'chimp boy' because of his words or actions that might make your name calling more believable or are you calling him 'chimp boy' because of the color of his skin?

        Report Abuse
        • Author by Former Democrat (January 26, 2009 9:51 am ET)
             

          I call him chimp boy for the same reason people called GWB chimp boy. He looks like a chimp. Period. And it has nothing to do with his skin color. It has to do with his facial structure and, most prominently, his ears.

          Check this out, and tell me if you feel the same level of outrage:

          http://www.bushorchimp.com/pics.html

          If you find humor in that website, and outrage when I call Obama a chimp, then you are a pathetic hypocrit.

          Report Abuse

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