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Wash. Times misleads with poll to claim Obama's Muslim outreach "may not be working"

September 04, 2009 4:36 pm ET — 11 Comments

In an editorial, The Washington Times claimed that President Obama's efforts at Muslim outreach "may not be working," citing as evidence a poll which found that a majority or large minority of residents of several countries and territories with sizable Muslim populations do not have confidence Obama will "do the right thing in world affairs." However, The Washington Times did not note that the poll's report indicated that in those countries for which data is available, residents have significantly more confidence in Obama than they did in President Bush in 2008.

From the Times' September 4 editorial:

Mr. Obama is engaged in what the White House calls an "on-going dialogue with Muslim communities," but the outreach may not be working. According to data released in July by the Program on International Policy Attitudes at the University of Maryland, when asked if they had confidence in Mr. Obama to do the right thing regarding world affairs, 57 percent of Iraqis said no, as did 60 percent of Egyptians, 62 percent of Pakistanis and 67 percent of Palestinians. Mr. Obama got better marks in more secularized countries with Muslim majorities, such as Turkey, where 46 percent said they lacked confidence, and Indonesia, where just 31 percent responded negatively. But that is nothing like the 88 percent positive response Mr. Obama got in France or his 95 percent nod in Kenya.

According to poll cited by Times, Obama more popular than Bush in countries for which data available

Poll summary: "Obama's ratings are far higher than the 2008 ratings of President Bush." The Times editorial cited a poll of public opinion on world leaders conducted by WorldPublicOpinion.org, a project managed by the Program on International Policy Attitudes at the University of Maryland. In the summary accompanying its 2009 poll data, WorldPublicOpinion.org explained: "Obama's ratings are far higher than the 2008 ratings of President Bush. ...The publics in every nation polled in both 2008 and 2009 showed an increase in confidence in Obama compared to Bush -- on average 37 points."

The countries the Times cited as lacking "confidence" in Obama have more confidence in Obama than they had in Bush. The Washington Times suggested that Obama's poll ratings in Iraq, Egypt, Pakistan, the Palestinian Territories, Turkey, and Indonesia indicate that his outreach to Muslims "may not be working." However, Obama polled higher than Bush did in 2008 in each case for which comparable data is available:

  • Egypt. While 39 percent of respondents had "a lot" or "some" confidence in Obama to "do the right thing in world affairs," compared to 60 percent who had "not too much" or "not at all," Obama polled 31 points higher than Bush did in 2008. WorldPublicOpinion.org explained in the summary accompanying its 2009 Egypt polling, "Barack Obama is viewed predominantly negatively, but far better than was George W. Bush, and ranks third among global leaders" [emphasis added].
  • Palestinian territories. While 33 percent of respondents had "a lot" or "some" confidence in Obama to "do the right thing in world affairs," compared to 67 percent who had "not too much" or "not at all," Obama polled 30 points higher than Bush did in 2008.
  • Turkey. While 45 percent of respondents had "a lot" or "some" confidence in Obama to "do the right thing in world affairs," compared to 46 percent who had "not too much" or "not at all," Obama polled 38 points higher than Bush did in 2008. In the summary accompanying its 2009 polling data for Turkey, WorldPublicOpinion.org wrote, "Despite Barack Obama's well-received speech in Istanbul, Turks are divided on Barack Obama. But this is a vast improvement over George W. Bush and actually places Obama at the top of the list of world leaders" [emphasis added].
  • Indonesia. Fifty-four percent of respondents had "a lot" or "some" confidence in Obama to "do the right thing in world affairs," compared to 31 percent who had "not too much" or "not at all." Obama polled 26 points higher than Bush did in 2008. In the summary accompanying its 2009 polling data for Indonesia, WorldPublicOpinion.org wrote: "The only leader in whom a majority of Indonesians express confidence is Barack Obama."
  • 2008 data was not available for Pakistan or Iraq.
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    • Author by southerngal (September 04, 2009 4:46 pm ET)
      1 4
      "may not be working"

      That's the phrase that MMfA doesn't like? Well, hello, it may not be working. Look at the poll numbers, they are in the high 50's and 60's expressing a lack of confidence. I imagine even if you asked Obama he would use the words "may not be working". With poll numbers where they are, they need some work.

      Oh, and is it any big surprise that Obama outpolls Bush? Big revelation there. Oh, and Bush is out of office.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by kfraz43 (September 04, 2009 5:00 pm ET)
        1  
        How is it not working if his poll numbers are exponentially higher than his predecessor's were just a year ago? In countries that have, over the course of decades, developed extreme skepticism of ANY American?

        I agree with you that there is no huge surprise that Obama outpolled Bush, but I think that the story has a particular spin on it that can be countered pretty easily.
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        • Author by southerngal (September 04, 2009 5:11 pm ET)
          1 3
          Because anyone that follows Bush should automatically have much higher poll numbers than he did. I mean he is seen as the chief invader in one of their countries. Not to mention Obama's Muslim heritage and backround, his should be at least more favorable than not. That is not spin to say that. Nor is it spin to say he has some work to do to get those numbers up.
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          • Author by kfraz43 (September 04, 2009 5:21 pm ET)
               
            Already agreed that polling higher than Bush is automatic. The claim was "may not be working", not that there was "more work to do", a point with which, again, we agree. I think that the uptick we've already seen is a mixture of the facts that: a) he is not Bush, and b) his familiarity with their culture and religion, but it is tempered by the fact that it's very early in his presidency.

            I guess my point really is that this article could just as easily have said that is outreach was "improving Muslim perceptions" and it would have been at least as accurate as the claim that was made. Picking nits: yes. But it's Friday afternoon...
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            • Author by southerngal (September 04, 2009 5:23 pm ET)
                3
              I would have no problem with the way you phrased it, for sure. I guess it's The Washington Times.
              Report Abuse
            • Author by clams casino (September 04, 2009 7:44 pm ET)
              3  
              Already agreed that polling higher than Bush is automatic.


              I don't think that's true at all. Do you think that if McCain/Palin were elected we would be seeing these same favorable polls? These polls do in fact indicate that Obama's efforts at Muslim outreach are working.
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              • Author by kfraz43 (September 04, 2009 10:20 pm ET)
                   
                Clams, you got me - I should have clarified that it's automatic that OBAMA would poll higher than Bush. That's why I was arguing that "improving Muslim impressions" would have been at least as accurate as "may not be working"
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                • Author by clams casino (September 05, 2009 3:22 am ET)
                     
                  Agreed. And yes, you did already show clearly why the article was skewed against Obama.
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    • Author by vhw28672478 (September 04, 2009 6:44 pm ET)
         
      Wash Times is a trash
      Report Abuse
    • Author by wesley (September 04, 2009 7:03 pm ET)
      1 4
      From mmfa's polling link:

      -- Obama has not strengthened the image of the US as committed to democracy in Muslim countries; indeed, the number saying that the US opposes democracy in Muslim countries is up 14 points --

      The Muslim countries are catching on to Pres.Obama's act...like many right here at home.
      Report Abuse

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