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Gingrich falsely claims that health care reform legislation would add "big deficits"

February 25, 2010 8:11 am ET — 68 Comments

On the February 25 edition of Fox News' Fox & Friends, Fox News contributor Newt Gingrich falsely claimed that "all" Democrats' health care proposals "require...higher deficits" and would add "big deficits." In fact, according to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, both the House and Senate versions of health care reform legislation reduce the federal deficit.

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Gingrich falsely claimed that health care reform will lead to higher deficits

From the February 25 edition of Fox News' Fox & Friends:

GINGRICH: The biggest things Republicans are going to focus on is that in this economy, with this level of unemployment, with the crisis we're seeing evolve in Europe, the idea of adding big tax increases, adding big deficits is very, very dangerous when we should be focusing on how to reduce taxes and create jobs and get people back to work. So Republicans, I think, are going to draw a very firm line against any kind of tax increase that would kill jobs, and that's very hard for liberal Democrats to live with because all of their plans require bigger spending, higher deficits and more taxes, and it's a fundamental disagreement about the nature of the world.

FACT: CBO estimated that health reform bills would reduce deficits over next 10 years and beyond

CBO: Senate bill yields "a net reduction in federal deficits of $132 billion" over 10 years. On December 19, 2009, CBO reported of the Senate bill incorporating the manager's amendment:

CBO and JCT estimate that the direct spending and revenue effects of enacting the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act incorporating the manager's amendment would yield a net reduction in federal deficits of $132 billion over the 2010-2019 period.

CBO also estimated on December 20, 2009, that the bill will continue to reduce the deficit beyond the 10-year budget window that ends in 2019 "with a total effect during that decade that is in a broad range between one-quarter percent and one-half percent of GDP."

CBO estimated the House bill will result in $138 billion in deficit reduction through 2019. On November 20, 2009, CBO reported of the House health care reform legislation, "CBO and JCT now estimate that the legislation would yield a net reduction in deficits of $138 billion over the 10-year period." CBO also stated in its November 6 estimate that "[i]n the subsequent decade, the collective effect of its provisions would probably be slight reductions in federal budget deficits. Those estimates are all subject to substantial uncertainty."

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    • Author by Floyd (February 25, 2010 9:13 am ET)
      4 11
      Be honest with yourselves ... how can adding government provided health care NOT create "big deficits"? And, how many of you kept reading until you read this quote from the CBO: "Those estimates are all subject to substantial uncertainty."? (thank you mmfa for providing your own disclaimer, a disclaimer that NONE of your inhabitants will read) Do any of you know what 'substantial uncertainty' means? I didn't think so.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by angels4light (February 25, 2010 9:25 am ET)
        7 1
        Of course there is substantial uncertainty. These are PROJECTIONS of what is likely to happen, not absolute claims that some think. It is like a corporation giving guidance for what they expect their company to do over the next quarter or year during the quarterly meeting of the board and key investors. The CBO does its best to take all factors into consideration, then acknowledges it does not know everything. And yet they are considered to be entirely unreliable?
        Report Abuse
        • Author by Floyd (February 25, 2010 9:34 am ET)
          1 9
          angels-- These are PROJECTIONS of what is likely to happen, not absolute claims that some think.

          Of course they are PROJECTIONS! So why is mmfa using these PROJECTIONS to call Gingrich a liar? It appears the "some" you are talking about is mmfa. THEY are the ones who think these are absolute claims.
          Report Abuse
          • Author by angels4light (February 25, 2010 9:47 am ET)
            9 1
            From what I have seen, since the CBO is the ONLY entity to analyze and make projections on pending legislation, that makes them the ONLY source to use on what COULD happen (and in fact is likely to happen, even if not precisely as the CBO projects).

            Mr. Gingrich is considering only the cost projection portion, and not the commesurate cost saving projection (not only higher than the cost projection, but higher than the cost TO TAXPAYERS of doing nothing).

            What I would like to know, aside from the misinformation that he is spreading, is what he gains from spreading the misinformation.
            Report Abuse
            • Author by Floyd (February 25, 2010 9:55 am ET)
              2 11
              angel-- What I would like to know is what he gains from spreading the misinformation.

              I would guess he gains the same thing mmfa does when they spread misinformation... popularity among wing-nuts from their respective 'side'.
              Report Abuse
              • Author by vhw28672478 (February 25, 2010 10:22 am ET)
                4 2
                You are wrong prove it
                Report Abuse
              • Author by raddave43 (February 25, 2010 11:35 am ET)
                7 2
                by spreading misinformation, he might get the population to oppose the plan. Gingrich is a master of misinformation.
                Report Abuse
              • Author by foghornleghorn (February 25, 2010 12:07 pm ET)
                6 2
                What I would like to know is what he gains from spreading the misinformation. - Floyd

                Uh, maybe discrediting a program proposed by Democrats? Could that be the reason?
                Report Abuse
              • Author by historygeek001 (February 25, 2010 12:12 pm ET)
                6  
                Floyd: please link to any instance of MMfA providing misinformation, including proof that their claims are false. Please note that talking points are not proof.
                Report Abuse
                • Author by Floyd (February 26, 2010 8:08 am ET)
                     
                  geek-- Floyd: please link to any instance of MMfA providing misinformation

                  Go here: http://mediamatters.org/ and you'll find plenty of misinformation designed specifically to discredit anyone who doesn't 'toe the line' of the democratic agenda.
                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by historygeek001 (February 26, 2010 10:55 am ET)
                       
                    I said "please link to any instance of MMfA providing misinformation, including proof that their claims are false. Please note that talking points are not proof."

                    You haven't done shown ANYTHING. The important part was: Please provide proof of any misinformation. Please note that whining isn't proof. You're revealing your own empty arguments.
                    Report Abuse
                    • Author by Floyd (February 27, 2010 8:15 am ET)
                        1
                      You're right. Whining isn't proof. So, what proof does mmfa have that Gingrich is lying (as they claim). Again, you're right, they are just whining too. I guess they have nothing but "empty arguements" also.
                      Report Abuse
              • Author by cugagcmu805031 (February 25, 2010 12:37 pm ET)
                5 1
                Go to Think Progress and read about the ties Gingrich has to lobbyists and big business. He's a real example of the profit feature of the market economy. He's not doing saying it because he really believes what he's saying. He's being well paid for his opposition.
                Report Abuse
                • Author by Floyd (February 26, 2010 8:11 am ET)
                     
                  And you think people on the left are doing this out of the goodness of their hearts? Geez, get a grip on reality ... liberals do the same things for the same reasons. If you think otherwise, you've got a serious dilusional problem with your representitive politicians. Which would explain why you would blindly follow anything your are told to.
                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by Johaely (February 26, 2010 11:54 am ET)
                       
                    If they are going against insurance corps. (the only ones affected by these legislations) who would be paying liberals?
                    Report Abuse
          • Author by rrastro (February 25, 2010 10:40 pm ET)
              1
            projections with very rosy growth projections
            Report Abuse
          • Author by TJ_rex (February 26, 2010 2:32 am ET)
               
            So Gingrich's projections are more sound than the CBO's?
            People need to get their facts straight. The government will be providing health care they will offer insurance.
            And yes I would trust government to run the program if the people who run it don't already think it will fail. Kind of like Republicans.
            Look at the mess they caused over the last 8 years. They want to see government fail so we can go back to the good old days of the robber barons.
            I mean would you hire a bank robber or con man to watch over your life savings? Then why in the world would you ever want Republicans in charge of government again?
            And trying to have a productive discussion with a Republican is like talking to a 2 year old. They only repeat what they're told to. They gave up their individuality to belong to a group of people who's central belief is hate.
            Report Abuse
            • Author by Floyd (February 26, 2010 9:21 am ET)
                 
              rex-- So Gingrich's projections are more sound than the CBO's?

              I don't think anyone has said that. I do see mmfa (and all sheep-iberals) claiming the CBO is absolutely right and anyone disagreeing with them is a liar.

              BTW, does anyone remember the budget numbers that the CBO used a year ago to express the success potential of the Obama plan? I don't remember many liberals expressing such support for them, then. Oh, I get it, if the numbers support your ideals they are absolutely correct. If they don't, then they are unequivically wrong.

              rex-- They gave up their individuality to belong to a group of people who's central belief is hate.

              Just who are you talking about? Sounds like liberals, but it's hard to tell after all those one-liners you just parroted. LOL
              Report Abuse
      • Author by ScienceBuff (February 25, 2010 10:25 am ET)
        5  
        Do any of you know what 'substantial uncertainty' means? I didn't think so. - Floyd

        That's the same disclaimer that you might find on any corporate budget or prospective business venture. It's a simple statement of fact that we don't know exactly what the future holds, that circumstances can change.

        Any attempt to read more into it than that is based on ignorance or dishonesty.
        Report Abuse
        • Author by Floyd (February 26, 2010 8:15 am ET)
             
          Right. So, mmfa is boldly claiming 'absolute lies' by a respected politician on a statement of fact that these aren't absolute numbers.
          Report Abuse
    • Author by bludog1 (February 25, 2010 9:20 am ET)
      2 5
      Two points of clarification: A) the CBO estimate may be accurate through 2019 because the revenues are received for four years before a single dollar of benefits are paid! Under that sort of an arrangement, it should be no surprise that more money will come in than will go out during the first decade. The question here is how in the world can this farce be put over on the American people?
      B) the CBO is obliged to accept the assumptions presented when it produces estimates. In the out years, particularly a decade hence, those assumptions are always flimsy at best. Heck, the $787b stim pac has grown by some $75b in less than a year!

      The only new program that I now of in recent memory that has actually come in under projection is the prescription package! All others of which I am aware have grossly underestimated and over spent.
      Report Abuse
      • Author by angels4light (February 25, 2010 9:28 am ET)
        4 1
        Not exactly, bludog. The revenues are received before MOST of the benefits are, except for the revenues from the so-called "Cadillac Plans", which currently has been put out to 2017 or 2018 - for ALL of those plans, regardless of whether you happen to be a union member or not.
        Report Abuse
        • Author by bludog1 (February 25, 2010 9:40 am ET)
          1 4
          Thank you for that clarification. You are right. But it does not change the underlying point the the former Speaker was making.
          Report Abuse
    • Author by bluestate69 (February 25, 2010 9:31 am ET)
      9 1
      the media has completely fallen for the GOP talking points. where was the discussion of deficits during bush's administration?? i can remember the defense of deficits, and media stories like, "are deficits a bad thing?" it's as if the media just discovered the budget deficits, and they don't explain how we got here. first off, obama included the 2 wars in the budget (something bush didn't do, but the media and fox won't inform anyone of that), second, bush never paid for the medicare prescription drug benefit and left obama the largest deficits in modern history. i guess it was okay for bush to spend, but obama should have had a spending freeze during an economic collapse!!!!!!
      Report Abuse
      • Author by Floyd (February 25, 2010 9:37 am ET)
        1 10
        blue-- where was the discussion of deficits during bush's administration??

        Yeah, where were they? Can you provide some quotes from those concerned liberal democrats that discussed the deficits during Bush's administration? If not, then stop your hypocritical whining.
        Report Abuse
        • Author by bludog1 (February 25, 2010 9:44 am ET)
          2 4
          The point of the critique by OPMMfA was that the former Speaker was wrong. The points made, including the clarification, stand.
          Report Abuse
          • Author by Floyd (February 25, 2010 9:52 am ET)
              7
            He isn't "wrong". You assume "substantial uncertainty" means mmfa is right. But, the fact remains, there is no proof that Gingrich is lying, as claimed by mmfa. Only substantial uncertainty.

            BTW, you're replying to a request for quotes from democrats during Bush's deficit years. Do you have any? Or did the democrats remain silent during those years and now are complaining that the republicans won't remain silent?
            Report Abuse
            • Author by bludog1 (February 25, 2010 10:17 am ET)
              2 3
              If I understand your response, I think you misunderstand. I was saying that OPMMfA's criticism of the former Speaker IS wrong. While I have not actually gone back to look at the record of each dem and rep senator for expressions of concern about the overspending, I am betting there are a few on both sides who have expressed them durng Pres. Bush's administration. Unfortunately not enough on either side though.
              Report Abuse
              • Author by vhw28672478 (February 25, 2010 10:19 am ET)
                4 2
                Gop is full of bs
                Report Abuse
                • Author by bludog1 (February 25, 2010 10:42 am ET)
                  4 3
                  Correction: politicians, by definition, are full of BS. That is not a partisan characteristic! It also has nothing constructive to say about the current thread!
                  Report Abuse
              • Author by raddave43 (February 25, 2010 11:34 am ET)
                8  
                Actually Gingrich is wrong because he states that the bill would create big deficits . He did not say it may or may not. He made it as a statement of fact.
                Report Abuse
                • Author by bludog1 (February 25, 2010 4:29 pm ET)
                    2
                  He is likely basing that on a long career in Congress where he experienced the futility of language qualification when it comes to talking about government and projections. : )
                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by raddave43 (February 25, 2010 6:08 pm ET)
                    2  
                    No, he is just pushing another talking point meant to scare the uninformed.
                    Report Abuse
                    • Author by Floyd (February 26, 2010 8:19 am ET)
                      1  
                      Quite similar to the actions within this article? Another talking point meant to scare the uninformed!
                      Report Abuse
        • Author by cugagcmu805031 (February 25, 2010 12:43 pm ET)
          5  
          In a Raw Story article Senator Hatch admitted that the republicans didn't worry about spending and deficits when they were in control. When Greta van Susteeren asked Eric Cantor why the republicans didn't address HCR while they were in the majority, Cantor said they just didn't. No explanation was provided as to why they didn't address the problem, they just didn't. They knew these problems existed before January 20, 2009, they just didn't do anything about them.
          Report Abuse
          • Author by jose2 (February 25, 2010 6:04 pm ET)
            1 2
            The debt is already impossible to ever pay off. Why should anyone care about deficits? And if you can't pay off the debt, why pay more in taxes than you need to?

            The only question on our current path is when the default will occur.

            Report Abuse
            • Author by raddave43 (February 25, 2010 6:13 pm ET)
              2  
              So we should just give up and let the country go bankrupt?
              Report Abuse
            • Author by jose2 (February 25, 2010 6:14 pm ET)
                3
              My answer would have been HCR is not a responsibility given to Congress by the Constitution.

              Report Abuse
              • Author by raddave43 (February 25, 2010 6:16 pm ET)
                2  
                and my response is that it is indeed a responsibility given to the Congress by the Constitution.
                Report Abuse
              • Author by TJ_rex (February 26, 2010 3:09 am ET)
                   
                So you endorse the Republican health care reform plan? You know, if you get sick, hope you get well fast or just die quickly.
                Appropriate for those with sociopathic tendency's.
                Report Abuse
            • Author by TJ_rex (February 26, 2010 2:40 am ET)
                 
              If the debt is so out of control then how did Clinton end with a surplus? Because he taxed the poor rich folk. Most of our taxes go to the rich anyways.
              Republicans always whine about wealth redistribution but one anything while the middle class was being sucked dry by the same the ssme people who caused this mess.
              Report Abuse
            • Author by Johaely (February 26, 2010 11:58 am ET)
                 
              Using your logic, that would mean that since we are all going to die, why do we do we worry about our health?
              Report Abuse
      • Author by toxicshock (February 25, 2010 11:01 am ET)
        4  
        Exactly. Think of all the billions of dollars we would have saved if we didn't go into the absolutely pointless Iraq war, just so Bush could get Saddam for daddy.
        Report Abuse
    • Author by jose2 (February 25, 2010 5:32 pm ET)
      1 3
      You take a private sector system with 1% fraud and replace it with government run system with 15% fraud.

      Then you feed CBO numbers where you tax for 10 years and provide services for 6 years.

      Then you take money from Medicare and slide it into health care.

      Then you use supplemental defense spending to channel funding through Veterans hospitals.

      The CBO heads are spinning so fast they don't know which way is up or down.

      Anyone pushing this health care agenda should be put into jail either under suspicion of fraud or suspicion of mental incompetence.

      Report Abuse
      • Author by raddave43 (February 25, 2010 6:12 pm ET)
        2  
        Do you have any source for your 15% fraud claim or did you just pull that out of your fourth point of contact?

        The only thing that doesn't kick in for 4 years is the tax on the "cadilac plans."

        Nothing about defense spending going into the healthcare bill, again something you pulled out of your fourth point of contact.

        CBO is a non partisian office that specializes in projecting budgetary requirements for bills.

        You can't put anyone in jail on mere suspicion and not being mentally incompetant
        Report Abuse
        • Author by jose2 (February 25, 2010 6:21 pm ET)
            2
          Link to health care fraud

          If you look at Thomson Reuters, when they look at all of this, they say at least 15 percent of government-run health care is fraud.

          The CBO is independent but it is a garbage in garbage out system. When Congress robs Peter to pay Paul the CBO doesn't care about Peter.

          Well, when you look at the total amount of health care that's government run, you know, you're talking $150 billion a year.

          And with taxes starting immediately and benefits starting years into the future, it has nothing to do with cadilac plans.
          With the Patriot act, we can put you in jail for any reason we want.



          Report Abuse
          • Author by raddave43 (February 25, 2010 6:29 pm ET)
            2  
            This does nothting to prove the 15% claim, this is a transcript of what Sen. Coburn claims. You are good with your talking points though.
            Report Abuse
          • Author by DellDolly (February 25, 2010 6:36 pm ET)
            2  
            Yeah, I figured as much - this claim is a distortion of reality.

            Here's what they REALLY said.

            A Thomson Reuters report published last October found that the U.S. healthcare system wastes between $505 billion and $850 billion every year, with around 22 percent of that going on fraudulent insurance, kickbacks for referrals for unnecessary services and other scams.
            So, 22% of the WASTED DOLLARS are fraud. Not 22% of all spending.

            Or here's something else.

            $60 billion. That's the conservative estimate of how much money is lost to healthcare fraud each year according to the National Health Care Anti-Fraud Association (NHCAA). Other industry experts estimate the number to be much, much higher.

            The June 2009 NHCAA report titled Fighting Health Care Fraud: An Integral Part of Health Care Reform, states that Americans spent $2.24 trillion on healthcare in 2007 (the most recent year full statistics are available). Out of those trillions of dollars, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) estimates that between 3–10 percent was spent on fraudulent healthcare. That translates to the American public being robbed of somewhere between $67–$224 billion — in one year alone.


            $60 Billion is less than 3% of $2.24 Trillion.

            http://info.thomsonhealthcare.com/?elqPURLPage=475

            http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE60H01620100118
            Report Abuse
            • Author by jose2 (February 25, 2010 7:01 pm ET)
                2
              You are good at twisting numbers.

              I didn't say 22% anywhere.

              I spoke only of government waste so the $2.4 trillion number has no meaning in arguing with what I said.

              Report Abuse
              • Author by jose2 (February 25, 2010 7:04 pm ET)
                  2
                Correction, the government waste was the high number.

                The low number of 3% was probably the government number and the private number averaged together.

                The point it government waste was 15%.

                Report Abuse
                • Author by raddave43 (February 25, 2010 8:01 pm ET)
                  1  
                  again you cite nothing stating this is a fact. 15% and 1% does not equal an average of 3%.
                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by jose2 (February 26, 2010 12:02 pm ET)
                       
                    Anyone who thinks that government is going to be more efficient and less corrupt than private enterprise is dreaming.

                    Report Abuse
              • Author by raddave43 (February 25, 2010 8:18 pm ET)
                1  
                You didn't but Thompson Reuters did, Sen. Coburn didn't get the numbers right.
                Report Abuse
            • Author by TJ_rex (February 26, 2010 3:13 am ET)
                 
              So why haven't the Republicans addressed this problem? They controlled the Congress from 1994 until 2007 and controlled everything from 2001 until 2007.
              For a bunch of white guys who say they are fiscally responsible they sure don't show it.
              In fact spending during that time wnet through the roof.

              Report Abuse
              • Author by Floyd (February 26, 2010 8:27 am ET)
                   
                Your hateful racist inclinations are sneeking through into your posts. Democrats have been in full control since '06, where are we now? Highest debt/deficit in history. But, feel free to blame others, it's a typical liberal method--blame first, act later.
                Report Abuse
                • Author by Johaely (February 26, 2010 12:06 pm ET)
                     
                  Lets do a small comparison shall we?

                  Republican control: 13 years, full control (55+ majority): 6 years.
                  Democratic control: 4 years, full control (55+ majority):
                  Less than 2 years.
                  Not only logic, but basic common sense dictate that REPUBLICANS HAD THE TIME AND CHANCE TO DO SOMETHING!
                  Report Abuse
                  • Author by Floyd (February 27, 2010 8:27 am ET)
                       
                    So, you're saying the democrats are powerless to do anything to help the country? They've had 4 years to do something ... anything ... and nothing is getting done, so you blame the republicans because they left you a pile of dung. Did your liberal freinds forget their shovels and you can't figure out how to clean the problem up? The liberal method is being proved again by you ... blame first/act later. I wonder how much later it will have to be before liberals finally decide to do something. I won't hold my breath, though, because liberals are historically lazy and unless someone does it for them, it won't get done.
                    Once the republicans take back over, send them your concerns and maybe something can get corrected. It's obvious liberals can't get it done. Maybe if the whiney liberals would stop complaining about lies that aren't present and step up to the plate and create some actionable answer the nation could get over this. But Nooooooo! You've got to whine and whine and whine about how evil the republicans are instead of working for the betterment of the general public.
                    Report Abuse
                    • Author by jose2 (February 27, 2010 9:31 am ET)
                         
                      Here is the democrat solution, take money out of the private sector and put it in the government. This means no new factories, no new businesses, nothing beyond temporary.

                      [http://www.fgmr.com/images/Images%20Articles/Change%20in%20bank%20assets%2026%20Feb%202010.GIF]
                      Report Abuse
                      • Author by jose2 (February 27, 2010 9:37 am ET)
                           
                        Turk writes: "Instead of depositor money being used to stimulate economic activity in the private sector by lending to businesses and consumers, the banks are helping to fund the growing federal deficits. This re-allocation of resources has a negative long-term impact on the economy. Depositor money is not being used for productive purposes like building manufacturing plants and making other investments that will create jobs and grow the economy. It is being spent by the government, which consumes in the present and does not invest for the future."

                        This will lead to debasement of the dollar, Turk writes, as markets realize that the U.S. government is no more credit-worthy than Greece.

                        Link is here
                        Report Abuse
                    • Author by Johaely (February 27, 2010 2:29 pm ET)
                         
                      You are aware that during their first two years, president Bush normally used his veto power against democrats, and that becuase of Republican voting no on everything democrats put on the table, they are unable to pass anything?

                      And my response was to this little dity:

                      Democrats have been in full control since '06, where are we now? Highest debt/deficit in history. But, feel free to blame others, it's a typical liberal method--blame first, act later.


                      Report Abuse
              • Author by jose2 (February 26, 2010 12:15 pm ET)
                  1
                Another racist comment from a progressive moron.

                The party of tax and spend vs the party of tax more and spend more. What the h##l difference does it make?

                Report Abuse
      • Author by TJ_rex (February 26, 2010 3:05 am ET)
           
        1% fraud? Who do you think is committing this fraud? The private sector that's who.
        In fact some of the biggest insurers have been fined billions.
        The private sector, that's a hoot.
        The private sector are the death panels, they are the reason many people can't afford insurance or go bankrupt because their insurance company said no.
        I can see the Republicans getting rid of Medicare and then being surprised when very few of the elderly can afford private insurance or can even get it if they can afford it.
        Oh that's right I heard one of the Republican protesters, an older guy, at a health care town hall meeting say he wasn't working because of a back injury. Then they asked if he had health insurance and the guy said he didn't but would get it if he needed it.
        Good luck with that.
        I have some Republican neighbors who were very much against Obama. Then their business went belly up just before Bush left office. They had to give up their insurance which had a $5,000 deductible and then they said they hoped Obama could do something.
        The point is you have to take what a Republican says with a grain of salt. Most of the time they don't know what they're talking about. It's never backed up by any proof just their belief.
        Report Abuse
        • Author by jose2 (February 27, 2010 9:57 am ET)
             
          It's probably closer to 90% fraud if you calculate the nonsensical administrative overhead.

          Government does not do anything well except raise taxes and create new obstacles for competition.



          Report Abuse
          • Author by Johaely (February 27, 2010 2:30 pm ET)
               
            Unlike an unregulated free market which has the bigger company eating the smaller one and then rising prices.
            Report Abuse

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