President Donald Trump’s reelection bid is faltering. Former Vice President Joe Biden has led in virtually every national poll of the campaign, he has a double-digit advantage in several recent polls, he has the edge in key battleground states, and he’s catching up to Trump’s once-dominant fundraising position. Trump’s supporters can’t make up ground by pointing to his record with the nation pummeled by a deadly pandemic and economic devastation under his leadership. And their efforts to tarnish Biden have been contradictory and ineffective -- in part because the right’s culture war playbook has proven less convincing against a white male target, and in part because the president would rather talk about West Point’s treacherous ramps than his opponent.
With both positive and negative messages failing, Trump’s right-wing media allies at Fox News and elsewhere have decided to raise the stakes. They have started claiming that this fall’s election isn’t really about the relative merits of Trump and Biden. Instead, they have turned Biden -- the septuagenarian center-left liberal who capped four decades in public service as Barack Obama’s vice president and speaks movingly about loss, grief, and the need for reconciliation on the campaign trail -- into a stand-in for dark forces poised to shatter civilization.
In their telling, Trump’s reelection is all that’s standing between the American public and a communist, anti-white regime. That’s an argument that will countenance virtually any step imaginable to prevent a Biden victory and will require months of intense fearmongering about the threat posed by civil unrest to sustain through the election.
This new talking point builds on the Trumpists’ desperate effort to terrify their audiences about the threat of civil unrest in American cities posed by “antifa" protesters, Black Lives Matter activists, and statuary vigilantes. It repeats Fox’s 2018 campaign strategy of warning viewers that their physical safety is on the ballot. And it tracks with Trump’s own messaging that Biden is a “very willing Trojan horse for socialism.”
Indeed, Fox star Tucker Carlson used the same classical allusion during his Monday monologue. “We should stop pretending that this is an election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. There is no Joe Biden; the Joe Biden you remember no longer exists,” he said. “The candidate has no independent thoughts of his own. He has no core beliefs. He is empty. He's a perfect Trojan horse.”
He went on to claim that if Biden were elected, “the people who've taken over the Democratic Party” would conspire with the media, federal law enforcement, intelligence agencies, and perhaps the military to ban the First Amendment, smear their political opponents as white supremacists, and imprison them for hate speech. (White supremacists love Carlson’s show because he echoes their talking points; Carlson has claimed that the threat posed by white supremacists is a “hoax.”)
“Only Republicans can save us from that,” Carlson concluded. “We have no choice but to ask for their help. The Republican Party is the only power center left in this country available to people who dissent.”
Victor David Hanson, a senior fellow at the conservative Hoover Institution, echoed Carlson’s framing later in the program. “I don't want to get political, but this election no longer is about Donald Trump's tweeting," Hanson told Carlson. “It’s not about Joe Biden's cognitive impairment. It has nothing to do anymore with a lockdown, the virus, the economy, foreign policy.”
“It's a existential question, a Manichean choice between whether you want civilization and you believe that America doesn't have to be perfect to be good and we are not ... going to destroy all that people died for, or [whether] you feel it was inherently flawed with a cancer and we have to use radiation and chemotherapy and kill the host to kill the cancer.”
“And that's the choice we're looking at, and I'm going to vote for civilization,” Hanson concluded. “Yes. Well, it's our only option. The Republican Party is our only option,” Carlson replied.”