Surprise! C4Palin doesn't understand polling (or math)

Sarah Palin's chief online propaganda site, Conservatives 4 Palin (aka C4Palin) didn't like the fact that Media Matters noted yesterday that the latest polling results being heralded by Politico showed that Obama would win re-election easily against Sarah Palin in a hypothetical 2012 match-up.

Bloggers at C4Palin didn't like it so much they posted this item:

Eric Boehlert from Media Matters Doesn't Understand Math

Their beef? I claimed the poll showed Obama would waltz to a “double-digit” win over Palin. Not true! “Actually the poll showed Obama with an eight-point lead over Governor Palin,” they claimed.

Oh brother.

Here were the polling results. When asked if they'd “definitely” vote for Palin in 2012, 32 percent of respondents said yes, vs. 45 who percent said they'd vote for Obama, which gave Obama a 13 point, double-digit margin.

Another category of voters included in the poll were those who said they would “probably” vote for Palin or Obama. When those results are included with the “definitely” group, Palin captured 40 percent, vs. Obama's 50 percent, which gave Obama a ten point, double-digit margin.

But remember, I don't understand math because there's no way the poll in question showed Obama beating Palin by double digits.

Except that, of course, it did: Those who would “definitely” vote for him in 2012, as well as those who “probably” would.

In truth, the only out C4Palin has is to include an essentially meaningless third category of people who, two years out, “lean” toward voting for Palin (2 percent) vs Obama (1 percent.) But oops! Even when you include all three sets of responses (definitely/probably/lean) that still doesn't add up to the fabricated eight point margin that C4Palin claims separates Palin and Obama in this poll. Instead, it equals a nine-point gap; 51-42.

But yes folks at C4Palin, you should definitely continue to lecture me about math.

BTW, in two separate posts yesterday, C4Palin claimed this poll showed an eight-point gap between Palin and Obama. I've proven that's false. (It's nine points at its most narrow.) We'll see how long it takes C4Palin to fix its inaccurate polling numbers. (We're waiting Ian....)